Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders at Toledo Rockets NCAAB Pick - Odds and ATS Predictions

December 15, 7:00 PM EST

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Toledo -14.5

The Mid-American Conference’s Toledo Rockets (9-1) will host the Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders (3-7) of Conference USA. The contest will take place on Saturday, December 15th, 2018 with a tip-off time of 7:00 PM ET. The game will be available for streaming on ESPN+. The Blue Raiders and the Rockets last met in 2016 where the Blue Raiders defeated the Rockets 73-70 in overtime in Toledo. MTSU owns a three-game winning streak in the series.

Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders at Toledo Rockets Overview

Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders

The Blue Raiders come into this contest off their sixth consecutive loss obtained a week ago at home when MTSU hosted the Murray State Racers and fell by a score of 62-42 as a 5.5-point underdog. The Blue Raiders have yet to cover this season as they stand 0-8 ATS in the 2018-19 season.

Toledo Rockets

On the contrary, the Rockets step into this affair on a seven-game winning streak capped off most recently by a 75-74 overtime win against the Marshall Thundering Herd on their court where Toledo was a two-point dog. Toledo has also gone 5-2 ATS over their seven-game winning streak.

Reasons to Avoid Toledo

The Rockets are primed to inflict an inflated number on takers to lay given their stellar form at the moment. When you factor in that they stand at 4-0 SU on the season in Toledo, this propensity is heightened. What may make Toledo even more supremely overpriced here is the terrible form of Middle Tennessee both straight-up and against the spread. As a result of this trend, the market will be inclined to saturate the numbers next to the Blue Raiders name to get action on them. Very simply, Rocket backers are setting themselves up for an overlay here.

Reasons to Back Middle Tennessee State

The Blue Raiders have also played a far tougher schedule compared to their counterparts. According to KenPom, the Blue Raiders have played the 5th toughest schedule in America compared to Toledo have navigated a friendlier 253rd -ranked dossier. When you factor in the luck quotient also resting with the Rockets (Toledo is 45th compared to Middle Tennessee State who is 78th), this is a venue where the Blue Raiders may be lying in wait as they are the more battle-tested bunch that have unfortunately been on the wrong side of equation more than their opponents. This works against Toledo greatly as MTSU may actually be in a position to pull an upset against a weaker opponent by comparison to their schedule.

Middle Tennessee State at Toledo Prediction 12/15/2018

The Blue Raiders are a two-time defending Conference USA Regular Season Champion, and their reputation speaks for itself. This is a team that many have seen regularly appear in the Men's Basketball Tournament, but so far this season, it has not gone according to plan. Needless to say given what they are known as a heavy-hitting mid-major program, the Blue Raiders will feel a bit slighted as such a heavy dog against fellow mid-major brethren. This narrative will be a motivational tool that will give Middle Tennessee State enough juice to give Toledo a scare on their court.

Free Pick: 
Take Middle Tennessee State +14.5
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