Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Michigan State Spartans Odds Analysis - Free Pick

Date: 
February 20, 7:00 PM EST
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Michigan State -16
Total: 
147.5

The 2nd ranked Michigan State Spartans (26-3) host the Illinois Fighting Illini (13-15) in a Big 10 game at the Breslin Center in East Lansing, Michigan on Tuesday, February 20, 2018, at 7:00 PM ET. On the college basketball betting board, Michigan State is a sizable 16-point home favorite with the O/U line at 147.5.

In their last game, Illinois hosted Nebraska and came away with a 72-66 victory and covered the -1 point spread line. The 138 points put up on the scoreboard by the two clubs fell short of the 144.5 closing line. Leron Black led the Fighting Illini picking up a career-high 28 points on 11 of 18 shooting, and he also had seven rebounds. Isaac Copeland was the high scorer for the Cornhuskers with 17 points on 5 of 11 shooting. Illinois outscored Nebraska by seven points in the first half and held on. Illinois snapped their four-game losing streak with the win moving their Big Ten mark to 3-12.

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Michigan State was on the road in their latest where they came back from a big deficit to beat Northwestern 65-60. The five-point margin of victory wasn’t enough to cover the -9.5 betting line and the 125 points scored had UNDER bettors cashing at the windows. In the game Cassius Winston was the high scorer for the Spartans going for 17 points on 5 of 8 shooting and Nick Ward went for a double-double with 15 points and 10 rebounds. Vic Law was the high scorer for the Wildcats with 21 points on 7 of 17 shooting. Michigan State was outscored by 12 points in the first half and roared back to outscore Northwestern 38-11 in the 2nd half to get the victory. They shot an unimpressive 43.5% from the floor and held the Wildcats to a dismal 37.5 FG%. Michigan State is riding a 10-game winning streak, and is in first place in the Big 12 at 14-2.

Get more details: Illini vs. Spartans Betting Match-Up

Illinois ranks 129th in the nation in ppg and 178th in opponents’ ppg, and Michigan State ranks 28th in ppg and 22nd in opponents’ ppg.

These teams met earlier this season at Illinois where the Spartans beat the Fighting Illini 87-74.

This season Illinois is 10-13-1 ATS with an O/U record of 9-14-1 and Michigan State is 14-13-2 ATS with an O/U record of 15-13.

SAGARIN RATINGS

Illinois: 78.47
Michigan State: 92.71

INJURY REPORT

ILLINOIS
[F] 02/19/2018 - Michael Finke is downgraded to OUT Tuesday vs. Michigan State ( Concussion )

MICHIGAN STATE
[G] 11/08/2017 - Kyle Ahrens is out indefinitely ( Foot )

Key Betting Trends

  • ILL is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games
  • ILL is 1-4 ATS in their previous five games after an ATS win
  • ILL has an Under record of 28-11-1 in their last 40 games
  • MSU is 1-5-2 ATS in their previous eight games
  • MSU is 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 home games
  • MSU has an Under record of 4-1 in their previous five games

Search for the best line: Live College Basketball Odds

Illinois at Michigan State Betting Angles

Illinois is 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven road games against Michigan State.

The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last four games between these teams.

The road team is 6-2 ATS in the last eight games between these teams.

In the last 20 games between these teams, the Under record is 14-6.

In the last nine games between these teams at Michigan State, the Under record is 8-1.

Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Michigan State Spartans Prediction 2/20/18

There is no way that I can back a team with a 16-point handicap even with a 13-point road win under their belt from an earlier meeting this season. The total does look hold some value. Illini put up 74 points on the board in their first game in Illinois back in late January, but they haven't had that success recently failing to reach 70 points in four of their last five. On the road, the numbers are even less impressive failing to surpass 70 points in seven Big Ten games averaging 63.85 points per game. Michigan State got lit up for 49 points in the first half against Northwestern and needed their defense to hold the Wildcats to an insane 11 points in the second half to get the "W'. There is no doubting that the Spartans have an elite defense and after their last games' first-half performance I look for them to put in a 100% effort for a full 40 minutes. I'm calling for a 75-60 type game.

Free Pick: 
Take the UNDER 146.5 RC
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