Houston Cougars vs. Cincinnati Bearcats Point Spread Pick


Point spread: Cincinnati-17
Over/Under: OFF
This Saturday the Houston Cougars and the No. 10 Cincinnati Bearcats will meet for the second time this season with the Bearcats going for the sweep. All the action from Fifth Third Arena in this AAC clash is set to get underway at 3 p.m. (ET) and the game will be broadcast nationally on ESPNU.
Houston vs. Cincinnati Game Overview
Houston snapped a five-game losing streak this past Sunday with an 88-74 victory over Temple as a 2.5-point home favorite. The Cougars are 4-7 SU in conference play as part of an overall record 12-12. They are 9-10 against the spread and the total has stayed UNDER in 12 of 18 games. Houston has failed to cover in five of seven road games and the total has stayed UNDER in five of those contests.
The one glimmer of hope to pull off the upset this Saturday is Houston's performance against the Bearcats earlier this season in a tough 61-60 loss as 6.5-point home underdogs. The total in that contest stayed UNDER the 130-point closing line. The Cougars are averaging 69.6 points a game and shooting 44.6 percent from the field while allowing an average of 71.1 points to their opponents. TaShawn Thomas has been a one-man show with a team-high 16.2 points and 8.8 rebounds a game while converting on 60.7 percent of his shots from the floor.

Cincinnati's 15-game winning streak came to a sudden halt in this past Saturday's 76-55 loss to SMU as a four-point underdog on the road. It still has a two-game lead over Louisville in the AAC with an 11-1 SU mark in conference play; however the Bearcats have failed to cover in six of their last eight games and they are just 4-8 ATS in the AAC. The total has stayed UNDER in nine of their last 12 outings.
The Bearcats are averaging 69.3 points a game, but they have failed to eclipse this total in seven of their last eight games. Defensively, Cincinnati is still one of the best teams in the nation in points allowed; holding opponents to just 57.6 points. Lately this has not always been the case after giving-up 66 points or more in three of its last five games. Sean Kilpatrick has been a force for this team with 19.8 points, 4.6 rebounds and 2.5 assists a game. Justin Jackson is the other Bearcat scoring in double figures (11.4) while leading the team in rebounds with seven a game.

Houston vs. Cincinnati Betting Trends
The Cougars are 0-5 ATS in their last five games against a team with a SU winning record but they are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a SU win. The total has stayed UNDER in five of their last six games following a SU win.
The Bearcats are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games at home and 5-1 ATS in their last six home games against a team with a SU losing record on the road. The total has stayed UNDER in 10 of their last 12 games following a SU loss.
Cincinnati has won all eight meetings between these two teams SU dating back to 1998 and it has a slight 5-3 edge ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in two of the last three meetings.

Point Spread Pick
Houston hung tough in the first meeting but they are catching the Bearcats at a bad time. The UNDER in this game is probably the best play depending on how low the total line is set. If playing a side, then bank on Cincinnati returning to form after an ugly loss to sweep the Cougars while covering the spread this time around.