Houston Cougars vs. Cincinnati Bearcats AAC Title Game Pick and Odds

March 11, 3:30 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Cincinnati -4.5

The American Athletic Conference Tournament will feature a heavyweight bout featuring one of its most favorite sons the Cincinnati Bearcats against the Houston Cougars when the two outfits meet in the Championship Final. The game will come live from Orlando, Florida on Sunday, March 11th, 2018 at 3:30 PM ET. In this game like every other conference tournament championship, a ticket to March Madness is on the line. Houston snapped a three-game Cincinnati winning streak on February 15th when they defeated the Bearcats 67-62 at home.

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Both teams enter this affair in especially good form. The Bearcats have won their last six consecutive outings. Respectively, the Cougars have won their last five. Both outfits have marched their way through the American Athletic Conference Tournament to arrive where they are for this pivotal battle. The critical difference between both teams is against the spread performance. Houston has gone 4-1 ATS in their previous five outings. Meanwhile, Cincy has failed to cover their last two.

Get more details: Houston at Cincinnati NCAAB Match-Up

Straight Up and Against the Point Spread Records

Houston Cougars, 26-6 SU, 17-10-1 ATS
Cincinnati Bearcats, 29-4 SU, 16-13-1 ATS

Houston at Cincinnati Key Betting Trends

  • Houston is 5-1 SU in their last six neutral site games.
  • Cincinnati is 5-1 SU on a neutral court this season.
  • Houston is 8-2-1 ATS in their previous eleven outings.
  • Under is 7-1 ATS in their previous eight contests overall.

Public Money

Out of the chute, we have seen the market fall by a point due to action on the Cougars coming in. However, analytics reveal the opposite. 69% of the cash and 70% of the ticket action has come in on the Bearcats. In Over/Under markets, the number remains has fallen by four and a half points. In forum capacities, we have seen the Cougars get 75% of the consensus in this spot. In Money Line markets, we have seen the Cougars priced at +170 while Cincinnati at -200.

Houston vs. Cincinnati: AAC Championship Prediction ATS

Very simply, when you back Cincinnati you can expect to pay a premium to do so. The Bearcats are a regular in March Madness and one of the most consistently touted teams in the American. As a result of this narrative, inflated point spreads usually accompany their name. This is especially the case when we find this team in a conference championship game. Nevertheless, the Cougars own some enormous advantages that can lead them to a victory. The Cougars are the more physical team on the boards, own a deeper bench, make smarter shots as they have an edge in field goal percentage, score more points per game, and capitalize more from behind the charity stripe. The calling card of the Bearcats is their physical defense. However, given the nature of this game and given the fact the team with more intangibles has the better price…taking the points is the way to approach.

Free Pick: 
Take Houston +4.5