Green Bay Phoenix at Bowling Green Falcons Betting Pick

December 8, 6:00 PM EST

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Bowling Green -2

The Green Bay Phoenix (5-3) and the Bowling Green Falcons (4-5) will square off in a Horizon League versus Mid-American Conference collision on Saturday, December 8th, 2018. The two teams have twice in the previous two years where each side took a victory. It is worth noting that the Away Team has been the triumphant side on both occasions. Most recently, the Falcons defeated the Phoenix as a one-point favorite by a score of 81-78 in overtime last year when these two combatants met in Green Bay.

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Green Bay Phoenix at Bowling Green Falcons Overview

Green Bay Phoenix

The Phoenix enter in on a two-game winning streak and own an impressive docket of victories over this span. In back-to-back outings, the Phoenix defeated formidable Northern Illinois and then a 100-92 upset of Ohio Valley Conference heavyweight Belmont as an eight-point underdog, a week ago in Green Bay. The Phoenix have covered in their last six consecutive games.

Bowling Green Falcons

On the opposite end of the coin, the Falcons enter on a two-game losing streak capped off by an 82-64 loss against the Cleveland State Vikings on Wednesday where Bowling Green was favored by 3.5-points on Cleveland State’s court. The Falcons are just 1-4 ATS in their last five outings.

Reasons To Avoid Green Bay

There are many enticing components to the Phoenix that will get them a lot of action here on the Money Line, let alone the point spread. Green Bay has had four more days to prepare for this game, and they were riding the hot hand at the moment after the big win last Saturday. However, the overall good form combined with the prominent victory sets up the Phoenix for a huge let-down now in their follow up against a team in an overall slump. Given the fact Green Bay looks too easy here and has been a cash cow against the spread, the number almost seems too good to be true. But then again, Green Bay's only win away from home this season was an 82-78 overtime win on the road against an Eastern Washington team that has only won one game this season. Now, they are going against a Bowling Green outfit that has yet to lose at home this campaign.

Reasons To Back to Bowling Green

Given the fact that Green Bay loves to play tempo, Bowling Green holds a significant advantage here as they don’t like to outscore opponents as their counterparts do. The Bowling Green defense gives up 73.1 points per game (217th in America) compared to Green Bay who is among the worst in scoring defense surrendering a 303rd-ranked 78.9 points per game. When you factor in the fact that Bowling Green is one of the best rebounding teams in the country (4th overall) with 45.3 offensive boards per game matched up against a Green Bay team that is among the worst in defensive rebounding (330rd nationally) with 37.4 boards given away per game; Leads us to believe that Bowling Green can play keep away, create second and third chances, and ultimately take advantage of Green Bay’s weak defense.

Green Bay at Bowling Green Prediction 12/8/18

The match-up dictates the play, and the market assessment of both teams allows Bowling Green to be offered at a bargain price. The Falcons will bully the Phoenix all over the court and could very well win this one by double-digits. All we are asked to do is spot a bucket, tremendous value.

Free Pick: 
Take Bowling Green -2