College Basketball Picks - ATS Predictions

Whether you're looking for free NCAA basketball picks to bet or want to see which side other bettors are on, SBS should be one of your daily destinations. Our team of analysts offer up previews on some of the top games on the college basketball board. If you prefer a condensed version of key betting trends, ratings and historical spread numbers with the analysis to help you improve your bankroll we have you covered. If you're looking for experienced prognosticators who have a proven history of profitable selections you'll feel confident knowing that our lead handicapper Rich Crew is one of the best in the industry. Crew brings with him a decade of winning in college basketball and football so if you're looking to tail a handicapper's picks free or paid you can't go wrong with this expert capper. It doesn't end with Rich. We also have David Schwab offering up his analysis and predictions on a handful of college hoops games each week during the season. Schwab has started to make a name for himself in the betting world stringing together a few in the black seasons and we believe he will continue to improve over time. If you're looking for 80% handicappers you won't find that here or on any legitimate site. Most pros hit in the mid 50% range and we hope to do that or better. If you're looking for the "lock of the day", "game of the year" or "guaranteed to win" you won't find that here either. Anything can happen in a betting event so to make such a statement is ludicrous. What we can guarantee is that all the betting previews and game picks that appear here are free to our visitors and it's a "lock" that our team will do their best to make your college basketball season a winning one!

Monday Jan 01, 2018

I’m going to go with the public opinion on this game. Both teams have had no problem scoring this season with the WVU putting up an average of 84.8 points and KSU 77.8 points per game. The Mounaineers have been held to fewer than 70 points just twice since their opener and the Wildcats just twice this season.

I’m going to go with the public opinion on this game. Both teams have had no problem scoring this season with the WVU putting up an average of 84.8 points and KSU 77.8 points per game. The Mounaineers have been held to fewer than 70 points just twice since their opener and the Wildcats just twice this season.

Take the OVER 148.5 (CK)

Free Pick: 
Take the OVER 148.5 (CK)
Saturday Dec 30, 2017

When you back Dayton in a conference match you can expect to pay a premium as they are one of the most recognized names in the Atlantic-10. Furthermore, Dayton is regarded as a perennial contender for March Madness when it concerns mid-major programs. After all, the Flyers have made four consecutive appearances in the Men’s Basketball Tournament and are back-to-back regular season champions of the Atlantic 10. Duquesne has made only five Men’s Basketball Tournament appearances in program history and has not been to the big dance in 40 years. Though Duquesne has the better record and hosting the match, all of the aforementioned historical anecdotes make Dayton a popular public choice by virtue of a recency bias alone.

The fact remains though that home court advantage is a big part of the college hoops game. Dayton is winless in its two trips on the road this year whilst the Dukes have won their last six at home. When you couple this with the fact Duquesne is the more physical team on the boards, commits less turnovers, and has a deeper bench compared to Dayton, the scenario has all the makings for Duquesne to not only cover here but orchestrate an outright upset.

Free Pick: 
Take Duquesne +3.5
Thursday Dec 28, 2017

Seton Hall has been underwhelming in recent games going 2-1 and failing to get the point spread win in all three games. They are however 8-0 at home and meet a Creighton team that is just 2-2 away from home this season. The Bluejays lost both games straight up and against the spread when they were in the underdog role as they are tonight. The Pirates will miss Ismael Sanogo, but they have enough depth to get it done and send their backers to the windows tonight.

Free Pick: 
Take Seton Hall -5 CK
Thursday Dec 28, 2017

A recency bias is the likely culprit for Santa Clara receiving so much love in this spot. The fact that Pepperdine has lost all its games on the road this season combined with the fact that Santa Clara has won all of theirs at home, enhances this sentiment. Chances are the market is adept to these narratives and exploiting them with an inflated point spread. There is no other reason why a team on a four-game losing streak that sports an eyesore win-loss record would spotting such lumber.

For Pepperdine in particular, their defense has been abysmal. According to KenPom, the Waves own the 333rd ranked Adjusted Defense rating. The Waves give up 80 points per game which places them 315th nationally in that category. However, Santa Clara’s offense is not one to marvel at as they average just 72.3 points per game (232nd Nationally). The Broncos are also one of the worst in creating second chances as they are ranked 345th nationally in offensive rebounding with just 29.8 rebounds per game. This was attained against a 325th ranked Non-Conference Strength of Schedule.

The bottom line is this, Pepperdine will likely catch a break here against a weak offense that does not have the ability to create a lot of second chances to attack their defense. As a result, the Waves will not have to sweat it out as they did against the likes of Weber State, Belmont, Texas A&M, or Oklahoma State all of whom are far more prolific than Santa Clara in scoring and chance creation. We have two teams comparable in quality as reflected by wins and losses. But Pepperdine has played a tougher schedule and is nevertheless being granted a generous cushion in this spot. We’ll take full advantage.

Free Pick: 
Take Pepperdine +6
Wednesday Dec 27, 2017

Both teams can put points on the board with Xavier averaging 86.9 per game and Marquette averaging 83 points. The Musketeers play superior defense, but have allowed good shooting teams to hit in the 70’s and ASU did get to them for 102 points. The Golden Eagles have allowed 50% of their opponents to score 80 or greater points and if both teams surpass that number today we will get the money.

Free Pick: 
Take the OVER 161
Saturday Dec 23, 2017

The week off could hurt Illinois, but I think the fact that they’re coming off a poor performance in their latest against New Mexico State that they’ll come into this game fully focused. They have played well in spots this season and a return to that form could get them not only the cover but possibly the outright win.

Free Pick: 
Take the Illinois Fighting Illini +4
Saturday Dec 23, 2017

Situational betting is a mantra we champion. Any time we see a team with a win-loss record like Cal State’s spotting points to anyone we have to take a further look. Much of the public has gotten aboard the Matadors and caused them to go from a dog to a favorite. This opens the door to find value on the initial favorite of Idaho State. We’d be hard pressed to find ourselves spotting points with a team that has just one win this year against a Non-NCAA Division I outfit. Very simply, we are getting the better team at the better price and that in itself dictates the play.

Free Pick: 
Take Idaho State +2
Thursday Dec 21, 2017

Nebraska-Omaha has a penchant for playing up when they are on their own court. This is a common denominator of many teams in college basketball especially. Unfortunately for the Mavericks, they have only been home on three other occasions this year but they have been successful in gaining the W each team they curated hosting duties. Montana State though they have the better record have struggled mightily when they were delved into unwelcoming environments. This in itself makes Nebraska-Omaha a play be that they are likely in line to pull off an upset.

However, there is more to it than the matter of home court advantage. Nebraska-Omaha as a whole has played a much tougher schedule as it is ranked 38th nationally according to KenPom. In doing so, the Mavs have had some misfortunes as their Luck quotient sits at 224th. On the contrary, Montana State sits 25th overall in the Luck department whilst playing the 166th ranked schedule in terms of strength. Long story short, NEOM has played a tougher schedule and had harder luck. A bit of home cooking will do the soul well here and also makes Montana State a false favorite in this market, as well.

Free Pick: 
Take Nebraska-Omaha +3.5
Wednesday Dec 20, 2017

The Mean Green didn’t get embarrassed by a good Oklahoma team on the road falling by 10 and play well enough on the boards to keep this close. Georgetown’s only loss came in OT, but they’ve played an easy schedule and have been burning their backers money all season long with a 1-5 against the spread mark in their lined games.

Free Pick: 
Take North Texas +9.5
Tuesday Dec 19, 2017

Sure, both teams play solid defense, but Clemson’s offense has really stood out this season. Clemson has faced some strong defensive clubs like Florida and Ohio State and put up 71 on the Gators on a neutral court and 79 against the Buckeyes on the road. At home they haven’t faced the toughest schedule, but they did average 84 points per game in five games reaching 81 or greater points in all five games. The Gamecocks can be shut down as Temple and Illinois State did this season, but for the most part this team has shot well and has clearing over 70 points in all but those two games. There is a huge trend to the UNDER in this game, but I think the value is on the other side of the line.

Free Pick: 
Take the OVER 137.5
Saturday Dec 16, 2017

Kansas has dropped two in a row, so I expect them to come out with a top performance tonight. Defense has been the issue in the two games allowing 95 to Arizona State and 74 to Washington and that will surely be their focus when they take the court against the Cornhuskers. Nebraska’s offense has been limited by on paper inferior opponents and I believe the two points combined should keep this game under the posted line.

Free Pick: 
Take the UNDER 147 (CK)
Saturday Dec 16, 2017

The ingredients make Cal Poly SLO a prime play in this situation. First, Princeton stole America’s heart last yet when it ran the table in the Ivy League and took it to Notre Dame in the First Round of the Men’s Basketball Tournament. Though it was 2016, this left a positive impression on the betting public and compels action on the Tigers here and now. Secondly, Cal Poly enters off a loss whilst Princeton enters off a dominant win against a notable mid-major opponent. This drives Princeton’s stock even further.

However, Cal Poly SLO gets this one at home and home court is a huge component of the college hoops game. Thus, a home dog is always worth a second look from an analytical perspective. From further scrutiny, the Mustangs own the edge against the Tigers in points per game (67.3 PPG for CP compared to 65.4 PPG for Princeton), free throw percentage (78.2 % for CP versus 70.2% for Princeton), and turnovers. CP SLO is also the more physical team overall on the boards and owns a deeper bench as well. When you factor all of this into the equation, the Mustangs are primed not only to cover but also pull an upset.

Free Pick: 
Take Cal Poly +3
Thursday Dec 14, 2017

There are many reasons to like the Crusaders here with the points. First, Valpo features the deeper bench and is the more physical team on the boards. Valparaiso averages 41.9 offensive rebounds per game which places them 14th in the country. Northwestern ranks among the worst in the nation with a 312th ranked 32.4 offensive boards per game. This means that Valpo can get several more second chances which is essential in road games against perceived stronger opponents. Furthermore, Valparaiso makes smarter shots. The Crusaders average 46.4% from the field whilst the Cats hit 44.3% of their attempts per game. When you couple this with Valpo owning a robust ninth-ranked opponent field goal percentage (36.5%) and seventh-ranked opponent three-point field goal percentage (26.4%), the Crusaders have the full capability to bully Northwestern on its own court.

However, when you look at this contest on paper we would be hard pressed to imagine a Power Five constituent being an underdog on its own court against a mid-major club. Even one as good as Valparaiso. The fact remains we have a tremendous opportunity to step in on what is likely an exaggerated point spread by virtue of the ingredients surrounding the match-up. However, Valparaiso can upset the sauce.

Free Pick: 
Take Valparaiso +8
Wednesday Dec 13, 2017

Nova can win at will most nights, but the Owls are a formidable opponent and should be able to keep this close. Temple has lost just two matches this season and both were by four points. The visitor has owned them in this series the last four meeting, but I believe that the Owls can stay close all game and get the point spread cover.

Free Pick: 
Take Temple +9.5 (CK)
Tuesday Dec 12, 2017

The Wolverines have played two true road games this season and were beaten by 9 by Ohio State and 15 by UNC. Offense has been a problem averaging 66.5 points per game in the two contests. They’ll now take on a Texas team that has held the opposition to just 58.5 points per game at home this season. The Wolverines’ defense has been solid for the most part and with the Longhorns leading scorer being out G Andrew Jones (15.3 PPG) out with a wrist injury, they should be able to limit the scoring.

Free Pick: 
Take the UNDER 128.5
Monday Dec 11, 2017

After starting the season 1-3 the Golden Panthers have won three of their last four going 2-0-1 in the three lined games. Their defense has been the key to the turnaround holding the opposition to 67 or fewer points in the three victories. South Florida comes into this game on a mini three game losing streak and the Bulls defense which has been a strength for the team has faltered recently allowing 84 in their latest to Appalachian State and 70 in regulation to Elon.

Free Pick: 
Take FIU +5 (CK)
Saturday Dec 09, 2017

The Gators have been on a slide losing three consecutive games which including two games that they were favored. Their offense has taken a big step-down scoring 66 against FSU and 59 about Loyola-Chicago. Florida will now face a team that has been playing great defense holding their opponents to 61.2 points per game on 36.2% shooting. The Bearcats did get lit up for 89 points by the Musketeers who had a big day from behind the arc hitting 10 of 21. The Gators can also hit the three, but they’ve been atrocious in their last two shooting 8/44 from three-point land. They could rebound here, but I’ll take my chances on both teams playing sound defense and this game coming in below the total.

Free Pick: 
Take the UNDER 146.5 (CK)
Saturday Dec 09, 2017

The Vikings have been a broken slot machine against the spread this year and whilst they continue to be undervalued the general public we will go ahead and step in and snag the value. The Vikings have all the makings of an outfit that cannot only make a deep run in the Big Sky but perhaps take the conference hardware and punch its ticket to March Madness. The Vikings are a physical bunch on the boards. In fact, Portland State averages 34.9 rebounds per game in comparison to Santa Clara who average just 26.5 boards per game. This is a substantial difference and will have impactful influences in the outcome of this contest. One other thing makes Portland State a potent choice in this market: tempo. The Vikings own the 4th ranked fastest offense in all of America. Santa Clara likes to play a sluggishly-slow style of basketball as they sit at 330th, among the slowest in the land. The Vikings can overwhelm the Broncos here and are also worth a look as a Money Line play here.

Free Pick: 
Take Portland State +3.5
Friday Dec 08, 2017

Short and simple analysis. Oklahoma has proven that they can score on anyone averaging 94.4 points per game. USC hasn’t shown that they can get shut down offensively by a superior defense, but that’s not what they will face tonight. I have both squads scoring in the 80’s and over 170 combined is where I feel this will land.

Free Pick: 
Take the OVER 166 (CK)
Thursday Dec 07, 2017

We will be hard pressed to spot points in a rivalry game as potent as this one. The Hawkeyes enter in perfect position to submarine the Cyclones on their own court. The Hawkeyes are off the radar and a consensus fade in light of their recent troubles. Contrarily, the Cyclones’ stellar play has made them a captivating take for any bettor. As a result, we have a quintessential buy-low and sell-high situation materializing in front of us. With the apparent opposite directions both teams seem to be heading in, Iowa remains the more physical team on the boards averaging over three more rebounds per game than their counterparts (Iowa 36.1 RPG vs. Iowa State 32.9 RPG). In games as hard fought as this one, this is essential as it can set the tone for the entire affair. Therefore, we will take the points here.

Free Pick: 
Take Iowa +6.5

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