College Basketball Picks - ATS Predictions
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Duke's been playing with fire as of late, and that often leads to getting burned. And Michigan State has just the right kind of team to do it. Plus, the Blue Devils might be without G Cam Reddish, who's nursing a sore knee.
Purdue shot 54 percent Thursday night; we don't believe the Boilers will repeat that performance Saturday. Virginia, meanwhile, shot just 36 percent Thursday; we're betting the Wahoos shoot a little better than that Saturday. We like Virginia here, minus the points.
Duke is lucky to be here, but sometimes a good scare is good for a team. And last month's loss to Virginia Tech might provide some added motivation.
Kentucky is favored on Friday, as this will be their biggest test of the tournament thus far. We’re going to pick the upset and pick Houston to advance to the Elite Eight.
North Carolina is the third-highest scoring team in NCAA Division I at 86.1 points per game. Auburn is 36th at 79.5. On defense, Auburn ranks 93rd at 68.5 points per game allowed, while North Carolina is 208th at 72.5. This expects to be a very quick basketball game, but in the end, the Tar Heels will win and should cover the spread.
The Cavaliers are just a better all-around team than Oregon and own the better performance this season against quality opponents.
The Boilers made almost everything they threw up against Villanova; we do not expect them to shoot like that against the Vols, who are holding foes to 41 percent shooting on the season. Also, while Tennessee blew big leads both games last weekend, it's good enough to build big leads in the first place.
Why did FSU knock off Gonzaga a year ago? Because Florida State plays in a tougher conference than Gonzaga. Regardless of who is on the Noles’ or Bulldogs’ roster, the ACC is the best conference in America in terms of college hoops. Florida State is the more battle-tested team, and they will be a problem for Gonzaga. I wouldn’t even be shocked if they staged another upset.
We like these two teams, but when they get together, of course, we have to find a winner. In the end - the Cougars and their athleticism will win this game.
Oregon caught a break getting an inept Wisconsin team in the first round of this tournament. The Ducks on paper aren't that lucky with this match-up. UC Irvine is holding opponents to just 38 percent FG shooting on the season and out-rebounding foes by seven per game. Oregon's playing some pretty good defense lately itself but for what should be a close, tough game we're taking the Anteaters and the points.
The Hawkeyes shot the heck out of the ball for the last 30 minutes Friday; that probably will not happen Sunday. Meanwhile, the Volunteers let Colgate back in the game Friday; they won't do that again Sunday.
Let me preface this by saying this will easily be one of the more entertaining matches audiences will say tournament-to-date. This game will be a nip-and-tuck affair for most of the contest. However, Texas Tech’s physicality and their defensive prowess will be too much for the Bulls to overcome and Buffalo will run out of gas. Texas Tech will pull away late and generate a cover as they continue onto the Sweet 16. I urge takers to keep an eye on this Texas Tech team because they can certainly make a run to the Final Four.
I wouldn't be shocked if the Bears staged an upset and knocked off the Bulldogs here. At the time this article was written, we had a reasonably top-seed friendly first round without anything too crazy unfolding outside of fan-favorite Murray State staging what seemed to be an obvious upset. There is often a No. 1 or No. 2 seed that may struggle to get out of the Second Round in each tournament, and this game looks like the best scenario for such a feat to occur.
Kansas did what it usually does as a high seed in the NCAA Tournament, stretching its opening-game winning streak to 13 games. This should be a great game, but in the end, we are taking the team that has been there and done that before. Kansas wins as the underdog.
Michigan State was favored by 13 points over Minnesota six weeks ago and covered. Sparty also finished seven games ahead of Goldy in the Big Ten standings this season. Also, while Michigan State came out cold Thursday, we expect a much better start Saturday. And Minnesota is unlikely to hit 11 three-pointers like it did Thursday.
What a game this should be. Two power conference teams. In the end, the shooting of Iowa State gets the job done.
North Carolina is 3-1 all-time against Iona, winning the last meeting in November 2007 as part of the Las Vegas Invitational. This is the first clash in the NCAA Tournament. The Iona-North Carolina winner goes against the Utah State-Washington winner in Sunday’s second round. The Tar Heels win this game by 30+.
Sometimes the value is simply in the numbers. Historically, the 8 vs. 9 match-up is a coin-toss game. After all, the win rate for the higher eight seed is 50.9%. With this being said, taking the dog on the Money Line in this game is the academic move as it will produce a good return on investment long-term if we took back $1.20 for every dollar bet, 50% of the time. The fact remains Syracuse's name is driving this market and Baylor is set up perfectly to end their nasty skid.
The Golden Eagles will be the cause of many ripped tickets as they will not only ward off the upset but win this game by a large enough margin to cover. The Golden Eagles will play this game with a chip on their shoulder since no one gave them the respect they deserve as the higher seed in this match.