Florida State vs. Duke Pick

March 16, 8:30 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Duke -7.5

The ACC Championship matchup was determined last night when Duke snuck past rival North Carolina 74-73, and Florida State got the win over Virginia 69-59. After an exhausting and thrilling victory against their biggest rival, the fifth-ranked Blue Devils will now face the No. 12 Seminoles Saturday at the Spectrum Center in Charlotte, NC.

“I think it’s more of getting them physically ready,” said Duke coach Mike Krzyzewski following Friday’s win against third-ranked UNC. “Because it’s two exhausting days in a row, and if we want to win in the tournament, you have to win two big-time games in three days.”

Duke Hoping to Not Let Up

Duke goes from one classic outcome to a rematch from another thrilling finish from more than two months ago. The Blue Devils’ dramatic results this season included an 80-78 victory against Florida State on January 12 in Tallahassee, Fla. Duke’s Cam Reddish made a 3-point basket in the final second to pull out the victory on that day, as standout forward Zion Williamson sat out the second half after getting poked in the eye.

More recently, Williamson returned from a sprained knee suffered February 20 against North Carolina. His first two games back have come in the ACC tournament, as he poured in 29 points against Syracuse before notching 31, including the winning basket on a putback of his own, missed shot, against the Tar Heels on Friday.

Third-seeded Duke (28-5) went to its bench with extended minutes for often seldom-used guard Jordan Goldwire and center Antonio Vrankovic in the North Carolina game. That could be vital if depth is a factor in the title game.

"I do have confidence in the guys and just ask them that, when their number's called, just to be yourself and play your butt off," Krzyzewski said.

Duke has an ACC-record 20 tournament titles. The Blue Devils have claimed the championship four previous times in Charlotte.

Seminoles on Fire

It couldn't have worked out much better for fourth-seeded Florida State (27-6) to land in the title game by avenging a loss to No. 2 Virginia from early January. To beat the top-seeded team is another boost for the Seminoles, who were a combined 0-3 against Virginia, Duke, and North Carolina in the regular season.

“We felt all along that we were capable, but we had to go and earn it,” said Florida State coach Leonard Hamilton. “And I think it was an ideal situation for us because we had a chance to play one of the premier powers in the country that probably would have been ranked No. 1 in the country Monday, had they won the game.”

Florida State began 1-4 in ACC play before reeling off 12 wins in 13 games, and now will play for the championship.

“Now toward the end of the season, I think that we started getting a little better and I think that – I also that the 1-4 start brought us closer together,” Hamilton said. “I thought it created a mindset that, hey look, we got to get busy.”

Florida State vs Duke Prediction 03/16/2019

Duke is trying for its second ACC tournament championship in three years. Florida State is in the championship game for the third time, but the first time since winning the 2012 event in Atlanta. This marks the 23rd consecutive year in which either Duke or North Carolina is playing in the title game.

Free Pick: 
Take Duke -7.5

Looking for more free tournament predictions from our handicapping team? Get Free NCAAB Picks each day throughout the College basketball season!