Florida State Seminoles vs. Florida Gators Free NCAAB Pick - Odds - Free ATS Prediction

Date: 
December 4, 9:00 PM EST
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Florida -9
Total: 
162.5

The 6th ranked Florida Gators (5-1) host the Florida State Seminoles (6-0) in a non-conference game that will take place at the Exactech Arena

Gainesville, Florida at 9:00 PM ET. Florida are the 9-point home favorite with a total posting at 162.5.

In their last game Florida was on the road where they beat Rutgers 78-73 in the ACC./Big 10 Challenge. CJ Walker was the high scorer for the Seminoles with 24 points on 6/11 shooting and he and Phil Cofer (19 points) were the only FSU players to score in double figures. Corey Sanders was the high scorer for the Scarlet Knights with 10 points on 7/17 shooting and he also had four rebounds and five assists. For the game Florida State shot 44.8% from the floor and they held Rutgers to 40.6% shooting. The Seminoles covered the spread as a 4.5-point favorite and the total went Over. Florida State is 1-0 on the road this season and this is their first game facing a ranked team.

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Florida was at a neutral site where they lost to top-ranked Duke 87-84 in the championship of the Motion Bracket at the Phil Knight Invitational tournament. Jalen Hudson was the high scorer for the Gators going for 24 points on 10/20 shooting and he also had 10 rebounds. Marvin Bagley III was the high scorer for the Blue Devils with 30 points on 10/20 shooting and he also had 15 rebounds. Duke outscored Florida by seven points in the 2nd half and for the game they shot 43.9% from the floor and the Gators shot 42.3%. Florida failed to cover the spread as a 2-point underdog and the total went Over. The loss to Duke was the Gators first of the season and they are 3-0 at home.

Florida State ranks 22nd in the nation in ppg and 118th in opponents’ ppg and Florida ranks 1st in ppg and tied for 309th in opponents’ ppg.

These teams met last season at Florida State where the Seminoles beat the Gators 83-78.

This season Florida State is 5-0 ATS with an O/U record of 4-1 and Florida is 4-2 ATS with an O/U record of 5-0.

SAGARIN RATINGS

Florida State: 85.59
Florida: 90.21

INJURY REPORT

FLORIDA STATE [C] 11/25/2017 - Christ Koumadje is out indefinitely ( Lower Body ) FLORIDA [C] 11/16/2017 - John Egbunu is out indefinitely ( Knee )

Key Betting Trends

  • FSU is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games
  • FSU is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against a team with a winning record
  • FSU has an Over record of 6-1-1 in their last 8 games
  • FLA is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after a straight up loss
  • FLA is 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games
  • FLA has an Over record of 7-0 in their last 7 games

FSU vs. Florida Betting Angles

Florida State is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against Florida.
The underdog is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 games between these teams.

Florida State at Florida Prediction 12/4/2017

This is too tough of a match-up to call a side on, but I believe the total has some value. Florida State has gone over the total in four of their five lined games, but hadn’t played much until meeting Rutgers. The Seminoles managed just 78 points, but the game did go OVER, but the Seminoles were held to just 78 points. All the Gators five lined games have gone over the total and the last three opponents have shot 48.2% from the field on 94 of 195 shooting. I have this game in the high 160’s.

Free Pick: 
Take the OVER 163