Evansville Purple Aces at Northern Iowa Panthers NCAAB Pick - Odds Analysis

February 13, 8:00 PM EST

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Northern Iowa -4

The Evansville Purple Aces and the Northern Iowa Panthers will lock horns in a pivotal Missouri Valley Conference contest. The match will take place on Saturday, February 13th, 2018 with a scheduled tip-off time of 8:00 PM ET. ESPN3 will cover the ESPN3contest for interested parties. This series has been a well-balanced one marked by the Purple Aces and Bears splitting the last four games with two wins per side.

Get more details:Evansville at Northern Iowa Betting Match-Up

Both teams come into this contest on three days of rest. The Panthers come in off yet another road loss this season as they remain winless outside of Cedar Falls. The most recent scenario was a 71-64 loss for the Panthers when they journeyed out to Drake. For Evansville, the Purple Aces found themselves in the doldrums yet again on the road when the Missouri State Bears mangled them in a 72-55 defeat. Against the spread, the Panthers, in particular, have had a lot of difficulties fostering a cover as they are 1-4 ATS in their last five matches.

Straight Up and Against the Point Spread Records

Evansville Purple Aces, 16-11 SU, 14-9 ATS
Northern Iowa Panthers, 12-14 SU, 7-14 ATS

Evansville at Northern Iowa NCAAB Key Betting Trends

  • Northern Iowa is 10-4 SU at home this season.
  • Evansville is 2-8 SU on the road this season.
  • Northern Iowa is 7-19-1 ATS in their previous 26 contests overall.
  • The UNDER is 5-1 ATS in their previous six outings between both contestants.

Search for the best line: Live College Basketball Odds

Public Money

From the early going, we have seen what appears to be a lean by the consensus on the Purple Aces. The market has dropped by a point to reflect this. However, 86% of the cash and 70% of the ticket action is on Northern Iowa. In Over/Under markets, the figure has risen by 1.5 points to indicate the public's preference on the OVER.

Evansville Purple Aces at Northern Iowa Panthers Betting Prediction

As we have said before, situational betting is a big part of our strategy. Therefore, fading a steam move in a rising Total can be prosperous when the conditions are right. This contest seems optimal given the fact that we are seeing the number continue to go up despite Evansville, in particular, being involved in affairs where the Under has been the right choice as of recent. Three out of the last four games Evansville has played in resulted in the Under cashing the ticket. The rub of UNDERS can be chalked up primarily to the Purple Aces having great difficulties in the shooting department. Evansville won't find any refuge here as they are going against an outfit in a hostile environment that owns advantages in the rebounding, defense, and turnovers department. Therefore, we ride the current trend and back the Under.

Free Pick: 
Take Under 122

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