Evansville Purple Aces at Indiana State Sycamores Free NCAAB Pick - Game Analysis and Odds

February 21, 7:00 PM EST

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Indiana State -5

The Evansville Purple Aces and the Indiana State Sycamores will tussle in a pivotal Missouri Valley Conference collision. The affair will take place on Wednesday, February 21st, 2018 with a scheduled tip-off time of 7:00 PM ET. Broadcast of this game is available on ESPN3. This series has been a well-balanced one marked by the Purple Aces and Sycamores splitting the last four games with two wins per side. Three of these four games were settled by a margin of five points or less, one of which required overtime. The two teams last met in Evansville in January where the Sycamores orchestrated a 71-66 upset as a 3.5-point dog.

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Both teams come into this contest on contrasting periods of rest. The Sycamores are entering this fixture on one more day of rest compared to the visitors in this contest. Both outfits come in on losses in conference play. For Evansville, the Purple Aces are currently riding a three-game losing streak while Indiana State's skid has extended to four.

Get more details: Evansville at Indiana State Match-Up

Straight Up and Against the Point Spread Records

Evansville Purple Aces, 16-13 SU, 14-10-1 ATS
Indiana State Sycamores, 11-17 SU, 10-14-2 ATS

Evansville at Indiana State NCAAB Key Betting Trends

  • Indiana State is 7-7 SU at home this season.
  • Evansville is 2-9 SU on the road this season.
  • Underdog is 3-1 ATS in the previous four meetings between both parties.
  • Over is 35-15-2 ATS in their previous 52 outings between both contestants.

Public Money

From the early stages, we have seen what appears to be a "lean" by the consensus on the Sycamores. The market has risen by half of a point to reflect this. Moreover, 100% of the initial cash and ticket action is also in on the Sycamores to complement this narrative. In Over/Under markets, the figure has risen by 1.5 points to indicate activity on the Over.

Search for the best odds: Live College Basketball Lines

Evansville at Indiana State Prediction 02/21/2018

Previously we have been involved in situations with Over/Under markets when we targeted steam moves on the Over with a fade on the Under when the contest featured teams with Evansville's profile. The track record of the Purple Aces on the road is abysmal. Evansville has lost four of their last five away from home and what jumps out at us most is the terrible shooting percentages curated by this club while doing so.

Thus, we see a team with a losing record in Indiana State favored at home. Even if early indications suggest that the Sycamores are getting the action that is bound to change given the win-loss records of both teams compared to the price asked. Evansville's poor shooting on the road will lead to Indiana State covering this number with ease. Swallow the points.

Free Pick: 
Take Indiana State -5

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