Cal State Fullerton Titans at Sacramento State Hornets Pick - Odds and ATS Predictions

November 24, 10:05 PM EST

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Sacramento State +4.5

The Cal State Fullerton Titans (2-4) and the Sacramento State Hornets (2-0) will square off in a Big West versus Big Sky conference collision on Saturday, November 24th, 2018. The two teams met just last year in Fullerton where the Titans defeated the Hornets 68-63. The two clubs have met on three occasions in the previous five years with CSF holding two games to one lead while Sacramento State boasts a 3-0 ATS record. The contest will be streamed on PlutoTV with a tip-off time of 10:05 PM ET.

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Cal State Fullerton Titans at Sacramento State Hornets Overview

Cal State Fullerton Titans

The Titans come into this contest off their third loss this season, suffered most recently on the road at the Hofstra Pride on Wednesday when they were defeated 80-71. Compared to Sacramento State, the Titans have played a quite a more rugged docket as they kicked off their campaign with an easy win against WCB only to follow this up with back-to-back contests against UCF and Wake Forest. In these games, the Titans averaged just 55.5 points.

Sacramento State Hornets

The Hornets have started off their season in exceptional form as they have won the first two games of their campaign. Most recently, the Hornets defeated the UC Davis Aggies 58-55 on a neutral court when the two played on Tuesday Night at the home of the Sacramento Kings, the Golden 1 Center.

Reasons To Back The Under

Both teams enter into this contest boasting defense as their overall strengths. For Sacramento State, in particular, they are ranked seventh in the country in scoring defense (53.5 points per game) and opponent field goal percentage (34.5%). Moreover, opponents hit a dismal 53.6% of free throws in the Hornets Nest (3rd nationally) to illustrate a significant home court advantage for the Hornets. Cal State Fullerton is 0-2 SU on the road this year and has averaged just 65 points per game in their two losses away from their den. When you combine this with the fact that the Titans own the 37th ranked defense in terms of opponent field goal percentage (37.7%), the already anemic Sacramento State offense that averages just 67 points per game (312th in the country) will also have scoring problems of their own which puts the Under within reach.

Reasons To Avoid The Over

The Under is also 10-3 ATS in Cal State Fullerton’s previous 13 road games which further embellishes the principle of Fullerton’s offense being stifled in the capital city of California, given location being a significant influence on performance. Sacramento State will not even give a thought to lighting up the scoreboard, they win games by playing sound defense and playing keep away by being the more physical team on the boards (which they are in this contest) as they average 42.5 offensive rebounds per game (32nd nationally).

Cal State Fullerton at Sacramento State Prediction 11/24/2018

Sacramento State by all indications should control the ebbs and flow of this game which means this one will be low-scoring and that makes the Over a bit of a risky play. When we also get to take back the Under at a great price this further warrants the action here.

Free Pick: 
Take Under 139.5 (+117)

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