Wizards vs. Mavericks Pick Against the Spread

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Date: 
January 24, 8:30 PM EST
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Wash +7.5/Dal -7.5
Total: 
225

The Dallas Mavericks host the Washington Wizards at the American Airlines Cente tonight with tip off at 8:30 PM ET. The Mavs are a -7.5 for the game with the total on most boards at 225 to 225.5.

Notable Injuries

Wizards

  • Kristaps Porzingis (Out) Ankle

Mavericks

  • Christian Wood (Out) Thumb
  • Maxi Kleber (Out) Hamstring

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Washington is 20-26 overall. When taking to the road, Washington has a mark of 8-16 and a win percentage of 33%. Currently, the team is 12th in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 20-25-1 vs the spread. In their matchup against Dallas, the Washington Wizards have won 2 straight games and will look to push that mark to 3 in a row.

The Wizards came away with a win in their last matchup against the Magic, achieving a 138-118 victory as 7-point favorites. Rui Hachimura led the Wizards with an impressive performance, scoring 30 points on a shooting percentage of 59.1%. In addition to the win, the Wizards also covered the spread.

Heading into the game, Dallas is 25-23 overall. When playing at home, Dallas has a mark of 17-8 and a win percentage of 68%. Currently, the team is 5th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 16-30-2 vs the spread. In Dallas' last 5 games, the Mavericks have a straight-up record of 1-4 while going 1-4 in those games. Going back to the last 10, they are 3-7 and 3-7 ATS.

In their most recent matchup, the Clippers defeated Dallas with a score of 112-98. Luka Doncic scored the most points for the team with 29, but it was not enough to earn the win.

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Wizards picked up the win 113-105 win over the Mavericks. Heading into the game, Washington was the 6.0-point underdogs, giving them an ATS win. This has been the only matchup between the two teams this season. Across the previous 5 meetings between the teams, the Wizards have an average scoring margin of +4 points per game, leading to an ATS mark of 4-1. In these matchups, the teams have put together an over-under mark of 4-1. Combined, they averaged 226 points in these games.

Analysis

Coming into the game, Washington's offense is ranked just 23rd in scoring at 112.5 points per game. This has come while being the 18th-ranked unit in pace. So far, the Wizards are averaging 98.9 possessions per contest. Washington comes into the game ranked just 21st in 3-point attempts per game. So far, they have connected on 35.0% of their shots from deep, which places them 22nd in the NBA. On defense, the Wizards are allowing an average of 112.0 points per game, placing them 16th in the league. So far, teams have shot 35.92% on their looks from outside vs Washington. This figure places them 21st in 3-point shooting defense.

Heading into today's game, Washington will need a strong offensive effort from Kyle Kuzma and the team's supporting cast as Kristaps Porzingis won't be available vs Dallas. So far, Porzingis is averaging 22.1 points per game. Kuzma leads the Wizards at 21.8 points per contest.

This season, the Mavericks' offense is averaging 112.6 points per game, which is 20th in the NBA. In terms of pace, Dallas has been playing at one of the slower tempo's in the league, averaging just 96.6 possessions per game. The three-point shot has been a big part of Dallas' offensive game plan, as they are ranked 3rd in 3-point attempts per game. So far, they have connected on 36.2% of their looks from the outside. Defensively, the Mavericks have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 104.72 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 33.98%.

Going into today's game, Luka Doncic is the leading scorer for the Dallas team with an average of 33.6 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 49.6%. The team's second top scorer is Spencer Dinwiddie, who is averaging 16.8 points per game.

Betting Trends

  • Wizards are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
  • Wizards are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
  • Mavericks are 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
  • Mavericks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Wizards vs. Mavericks Prediction ATS 1/24/23

Dallas doesn't blow teams out. Washington is going through turmoil. Matchup-wise, they can actually afford to lose Porzingis and Rui because Dallas doesn't play big. I still like to fade spots in which there's turmoil and chemistry changes so will be laying the wood with the Mavs at -7.5 Tuesday night.</p>
 
Free Pick: 
Take Dallas -7.5