Warriors vs. Suns Odds, Analysis, Prediction ATS

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Date: 
November 16, 10:00 PM EST
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
GS +2/ PHO -2
Total: 
226.5

The Warriors have yet to win on the road this season, bringing their 0-7 SU and 1-6 ATS record into the Footprint Center tonight. The Suns are just a -2 to -2.5 spread favorite with a total line of 226.5.

Notable Injuries

Warriors

  • Andre Iguodala (Out) Injury Management
  • Patrick Baldwin Jr. (Out) Back


Suns

  • Jae Crowder (Out) Not Injury Related
  • Chris Paul (Questionable) Heel
  • Landry Shamet (Out) Concussion
  • Cameron Johnson (Out) Knee

Recent Form

The Warriors come into today's matchup with an overall record of 6-8. So far, the team has gone 5-9-0 against the spread. In the team's past 3 games, their overall mark sits at 2-1. Golden State is 2-1 vs the spread in these matchups.

In their previous game, the Warriors took down the Spurs by a score of 132-95. Not only did they come away with a straight-up win, but they also covered the spread as 8-point favorites. Golden State was able to maintain control throughout the game, as they outscored the Spurs in each quarter. Leading the team in scoring was Jordan Poole, as he contributed 36 points while hitting 65.0% of his shots.

The Suns come into today's matchup with an overall record of 8-5. So far, the team has gone 8-5-0 against the spread. Today, the Suns will be looking to snap a 2 game-losing streak. The team has lost these games by an average of -9.0 points per contest.

The Suns will be looking to bounce back from a 113-112 loss to the Heat. In terms of betting, Phoenix entered as 2-point underdogs, giving them an ATS win. Phoenix was not able to make a comeback in this matchup, as they went into the half down by 1. In the loss, Devin Booker led the team in scoring with 25 points on a field goal percentage of 50.0%.

The Historicals

In addition to ending their head-to-head series in a split, the Warriors and Suns both had records of 2-2 in the games Phoenix. Similar to their season-long average, the Warriors averaged 108.25 points per game vs the Suns. While the Warriors were able to maintain their usual level of production against Phoenix, the Suns averaged fewer points per game in the series, at 103.5. Spanning across the last 5 head-to-head matchups, the Warriors and Suns have been competitive, with an average margin of victory sitting at just -2 points per game. This has resulted in a 3-2 ATS record for Golden State. In these matchups, the teams have put together an over-under mark of 2-3. Combined, they averaged 216 points in these games.

Analysis

For the season, the Golden State offense is the 3rd ranked unit in the NBA, at 117.4 points per contest. So far, Golden State is averaging 102.4 possessions per game, making them one of the more up-tempo teams in the league. So far, the team has been able to rank well on offense, even though their up-tempo style of play has not translated into inside scoring. Currently, Golden State is just 21st in 2-point field goal makes per game.

Against the Suns, the Warriors will look to continue their strong defensive play. For the year, they are the 3rd ranked unit at 105.46 points per game.

On offense, Stephen Curry leads the Warriors in scoring at 31.46 points per game, placing him 6th in the NBA. Overall, Curry has hit 52.3% of his shots while accounting for 22.6% of the team's looks from the field. In today's game, he will be working against a defensive unit that is 5th in points allowed to point guards. At 17.07 points per game, Jordan Poole is the 2nd leading scorer for the Warriors. For the season, he is 173rd in the league in player efficiency rating.

For the season, the Suns' offensive unit is ranked just 14th in scoring at 112.5 points per contest. So far, the Suns are averaging 95.7 possessions per game, which places them below the NBA average. Even though the Suns are one of the more efficient 3-point shooting teams in the NBA at 36.6%, their slower style of play may be holding back the team's offense from fully taking off.

On the defensive end of the floor, the Suns are giving up an average of 107.33 points per game, good for 9th in the NBA.

Shooting Guard Devin Booker currently leads the Warriors at 26.54 points per game. For the season, he is 32nd in the NBA in usage rate and has taken 22.5% of the team's field goal attempts. In addition to his scoring, Booker is averaging 4.77 boards and 5.54 assists per contest. In today's game, he is facing off against the NBA's 17th-ranked defense at defending shooting guards. Mikal Bridges enters the game, sitting second on the team in scoring. Through 13 games, he is averaging 15.62 points and is 144th in the league in player efficiency rating.

Betting Trends

  • Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Warriors are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
  • Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight-up loss.
  • Suns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.

Warriors vs. Suns Prediction ATS 11/16/22

 The Suns have their first game back after a fairly intense east coast road trip and frankly, they aren't playing that great. Meanwhile, the Warriors are starting to find their rhythm. I'd have bet this game if Golden State was laying -3! Gimme the Warriors at +1.5!

Free Pick: 
Take Golden State +2