San Antonio Spurs vs. Denver Nuggets Free ATS Pick
The San Antonio Spurs extended their current winning streak to 15 games in Wednesday's opener of this home-and-home series against the Denver Nuggets and this Friday night they will go for the sweep when the two clash again at the Pepsi Center. Tip-off is set for 9 p.m. (ET) and the game will be available on NBA League Pass.
Point Spread: San Antonio -6.5
Total Line: 215
Spurs vs. Nuggets Game Overview
Through the first three quarters the Spurs dominated the first game of this series and in the end a win is a win with Wednesday's 108-103 victory as 13.5-point home favorites. It was the first time they failed to cover against the spread in their last nine games. The total stayed UNDER the closing 216-point line and it has now stayed UNDER in six of their last eight outings. This 15-game SU winning streak improved San Antonio's overall record to an NBA-best 55-16 and it now has a three-game lead over Oklahoma City for the top seed in the Western Conference.
Tim Duncan led the way against the Nuggets with 29 points, 13 rebounds and five assists. Tony Parker may lead the Spurs in scoring with an average of 17.5 points per game, but he had a quiet night with just 10 points in 37 minutes of play. San Antonio shot 48.9 percent from the field and 40 percent from 3-point range which almost mirrors its numbers on the year. On an injury note, Danny Green left the game with a sprained foot and he remains questionable for Friday night.
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Denver's fourth quarter rally came up short after digging itself into a 17-point hole at the end of three. It was the Nuggets third SU loss in their last four games, but they have now covered in seven of their last nine contests with the total staying UNDER in five of the last seven games. They now return home where they have gone 19-16 SU this season, but ATS they are just 14-21. The total has gone OVER in four of their last six home games.
It would tough enough for Denver to beat the Spurs at full strength, but it is at a severe disadvantage with an injury list that includes JJ Hickson, Nate Robinson and Danilo Gallinari, who have all been lost for the season. Wilson Chandler has missed the last three games and he remains questionable for this matchup as well. In their absence, Ty Lawson and Kenneth Faried have had to carry the load. Faried scored 24 points against the Spurs the first time around and Aaron Brooks came off the bench to lead the team with 25 points in the losing effort.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Denver Nuggets Betting Trends
The Spurs are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last five road games and 5-1 ATS in their last six games against a team with a SU losing record. The total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five games on one day's rest.
The Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against the Southwest Division, but 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against a team with a SU winning record. The total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five games following a SU loss.
San Antonio has now won four of the six meetings SU, but Denver has the 4-1 edge ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in the last four games.
Against the Spread Pick
The first game in this series was never really close as San Antonio dominated play from the opening tip. Look for pretty much the same scenario on Friday night, but this time around the Spurs will win both SU and ATS with a much more manageable point spread.