Phoenix Suns at Golden State Warriors Pick, Odds Analysis, Trends

Date: 
February 12, 10:30 PM EST
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Golden State -15.5
Total: 
226

NBA TV's doubleheader of betting action this Monday night comes to a close with a Pacific Division matchup between the Phoenix Suns and the Golden State Warriors in the first meeting this season. Game time from ORACLE Arena tonight is 10:30 p.m.

Phoenix at Golden State Game Overview

The Suns’ current SU losing streak reached five games with Saturday’s 123-113 loss to Denver as seven-point home underdogs. They are 1-4 against the spread in this most recent slide with the total going OVER in four of the five games. Phoenix is 18-39 SU (26-29-2 ATS) overall with a 9-18 record on the road. It has failed to cover in three of its last four road games.

Phoenix is averaging 104.4 points a game this season, and that number has dropped to 98.8 points over its last five games. At the other end of the court, the Suns have given up an average of 121.6 points in that same span. That is well above a points-allowed average of 112.6, which is already ranked dead-last in the league. Forward TJ Warren led all scorers in Saturday’s loss with 31 points while going 13-for-17 from the floor. Devin Booker is the Suns’ leading scorer this season with 24.1 PPG, but he remains out of the lineup with a hip injury.

Get more details: Suns at Warriors Betting Match-Up

Golden State has been struggling with consistency since the end of January with a 3-3 run (SU and ATS) in its last six games, but it looked true to form on Saturday with a 122-105 romp over San Antonio as a 10.5-point home favorite. The Warriors are 6-2 SU in their last eight home games while going 3-4-1 ATS. The total has gone OVER in six of those eight games. They are 21-7 SU at home this season with a 12-15-1 record ATS.

All five starters for the Warriors ended Saturday's game in double figures following a slow start out of the gate in which San Antonio took a 10-point first quarter lead. Klay Thompson led the way with 25 points, and David West added 13 points off the bench. Golden State shot 56.5 percent from the field, and it converted on 44.4 percent of its 27 shots from three-point range. The Warriors remains the highest scoring team in the NBA with an average of 115.6 PPG.

Phoenix at Golden State Game Betting Trends

--The Suns are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 division games and 0-4 ATS in their previous four conference outings. The total has gone OVER in four of their last five games against a team with a SU winning record.

--The Warriors have failed to cover in five of their last seven games in the division and they are 2-5 ATS in their previous seven games coming off an SU win. The total has gone OVER in seven of their last eight Pacific games.

--Phoenix has not beaten Golden State SU in the last ten meetings, but it does have a 4-2 edge ATS in the previous six matchups. The total has gone OVER in 20 of the previous 27 meetings in Golden State.

Search for the best line: Live NBA Basketball Odds

Phoenix Suns at Golden State Warriors Free Prediction

Mismatches in the NBA do not come much more significant than this, but the Warriors’ shaky play as of late should make bettors nervous when it comes to covering such a huge spread against a division opponent. Golden State is simply looking for SU wins heading into this week’s All-Star break so while I would not lay the points betting the side, I will go with the OVER on the total line as my “best bet” pick.

Free Pick: 
Take the OVER 226 (DS)
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