Oklahoma City Thunder at Sacramento Kings Prediction ATS

January 29, 10:00 PM EST

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Sacramento -1

The Oklahoma City Thunder (28-20) and Sacramento Kings (17-29) will square off in the Golden 1 Center for a Western Conference clash on Wednesday, January 29th, 2020, with a scheduled tip-off time of 10:00 PM ET. The Kings have held the upper hand as of late as they have won the last two meetings in this series. OKC and Sac City last met earlier this season in December when the Kings curated hosting duties against the Thunder. Closing as a 1.5-point favorite, the Kings managed to fail to cover but still win the game in a 94-93 thriller. Overall, Sacramento has won four of the last five meetings.

Oklahoma City Thunder at Sacramento Kings Key Injury Concerns:

Kings Forward Marvin Bagley III will be out of action due to soreness in his right foot. Bagley has been unavailable for Sacramento’s last three games.

Oklahoma City Thunder at Sacramento Kings Overview:

Oklahoma City Thunder

The Thunder were upstaged on their own court when they locked horns with the Dallas Mavericks in OKC on Monday. Closing as a five-point home underdog, the Thunder fell to the Mavs by a final score of 107-97. The loss ended a five-game win and cover streak for Oklahoma City.

Sacramento Kings

The Kings enter in off an overtime win on the road in Minnesota on Monday when they defeated the Timberwolves 133-129. As a result, Sacramento was able to cash in outright on the Money Line as a three-point underdog. The victory also extended the Kings’ win and cover streak to two games.

Reasons to Avoid Oklahoma City:

In the last nine meetings between both sides, the Thunder has covered just twice. While that would typically compel us to look at Oklahoma City given the fact that some value may accompany here, their inability to cover as of recent against the Kings is a direct bi-product of market presence. The Kings have not been a reputable basketball team in a long time, given their litany of disappointing campaigns. On the flip side, OKC has been a regular in the post-season, and it is very well likely that backers who failed to cash a ticket have been paying a premium to back Oklahoma City as a result. This narrative is expected to continue here given the forms of both sides combined with the fact that Oklahoma City has overall been one of the NBA's most profitable teams ATS season-to-date.

Reasons to Back Sacramento:

The Kings hone an edge in the defense department when comparing the two sides in the tale of the tape, which can be instrumental in a game that is forecasted to be settled by a possession. Moreover, Sacramento has been dominant in this series recently. As a result, the emotional intangibles rest with the Kings here who will step into this game with heightened confidence.

Thunder vs. Kings Prediction 1/29/20

I am hard-pressed to believe that this game will be settled by a point again and thus have no reservation laying the point here at evens if the market insists. Anytime I see a team with a losing record like Sacramento's laying a tag to a team like OKC who has generally been a cover machine as of late, I am very much inclined to back the chalk here as the Thunder seems like a bit of a "sucker bet." Sacramento will spurn the momentum from their recent good form to offer an inspired performance against Oklahoma City and pull away with the win, certainly by more than a free throw.
Free Pick: 
Take Sacramento +3 (opened at -1)
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