New York Knicks at Miami Heat Pick 12-20-19

December 20, 8:00 PM EST

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Miami -10

The New York Knicks (7-21) and the Miami Heat (20-8) will square off in an Eastern Conference clash. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:00 PM ET and will be broadcasted on FSN and MSG. This is the first meeting of the season between the Heat and Knicks. Coming into this contest, Miami has won five of the last six meetings between both parties. The Heat have won and covered in the last three contests played between the two teams. Miami and New York last met in March in the Big Apple, where the Heat defeated the Knicks 100-92 to produce a narrow cover as a 7.5-point favorite.

New York Knicks at Miami Heat Injury Concerns

The Heat have had their personnel issues as of late despite owning one of the better records in the Eastern Conference. Small Forward Justise Winslow remains out indefinitely as he battles an injury to his back. Shooting Guard Dion Waiters is suspended until December 27th for violating team policies.

New York Knicks at Miami Heat Overview

New York Knicks

The Knicks step into this contest off a home win on Wednesday against the visiting Atlanta Hawks. Closing as a two-point favorite, New York covered with ease in a 143-120 victory. The Knicks step into this contest on a four-game cover streak while going 3-1 SU over this span.

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Miami Heat

The Heat come into this contest off of a high-profile win on Wednesday when they handed the Philadelphia 76ers their first loss at home this season. Closing as an eight-point underdog, the Heat upset the Sixers 108-104.

Reasons To Back New York

In the tale of the tape, the Knicks are the more physical team on the glass, and they commit fewer turnovers compared to their counterparts. In fact, the turnover margin is significant as the Knicks commit 2.4 fewer turnovers per game compared to their counterparts. In addition to the strategic aspects, the Knicks are also positioned to be undervalued by virtue of the fact that Miami has had their number as of late and been quite profitable as they do so. This is even before we consider all the aspects that could render Miami overvalued outside of the series history.

Reasons To Avoid Miami

On the year, the Heat are 11-1 SU at home. A trend like this will position a team like the Heat to be overvalued. In spite of this, Miami is an equally impressive 10-2 ATS in home stints. Against a team like New York who has won just three games on the road this season, there is little question that Miami’s profitability in home games may be checked here as they could be giving away a few extra points to the Knickerbockers. The propensity for an overreaction is also at a premium in this contest, given the caliber of the win that the Heat pulled off on Wednesday. Very simply, there is a right time to bet a team, and other occasions where one can be betting said team too late. The latter applies to the Heat here as they can easily suffer a let-down in their follow-up.

Knicks at Heat Prediction

I anticipate the Knicks will come into this game with some more pep in their step. After all, the Knicks are playing their best basketball this season, and I think they will want to continue to build upon their recent success by taking it to a team that is a step up in competition. There is no reason to suspect Miami cannot play down to the level of their opposition as lowly Memphis did indeed beat the Heat outright on Monday in the prelude to their Miami’s win against the Sixers. I’ll take the points.

Free Pick: 
Take New York +10