New York Knicks at Miami Heat NBA Pick - Odds and ATS Predictions

October 24, 7:30 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Miami -8

The New York Knicks (1-3) will renew their old rivalry with the Miami Heat (1-2) at the American Airlines Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 PM and scheduled to be televised on both MSG and FSN. To demonstrate how truly fierce this rivalry can be, the Heat and Knicks have each won five of the last ten meetings between both parties. Most recently, the Knicks earned a win in New York against the Heat when they rolled them 122-98 in April as an 8.5-point underdog.

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New York Knicks at Miami Heat Overview

New York Knicks

The Knicks come into this contest with their third consecutive loss when they were defeated by the Milwaukee Bucks on Monday night by a score of 124-113. The Knicks managed to generate a push as the Deers were spotting 11 to the Knickerbockers at the closing tick of the market.

Miami Heat

The Heat come into this contest the better rested of the two outfits, not having played a game since Saturday when they lost by a point to divisional rival Charlotte in Miami. The Heat, unlike the Knicks, was a playoff team in the 2017-18 season and with the Southeast Division being as wide open as it is, can potentially take advantage in this campaign and perhaps punch their ticket as the division champion.

Reasons To Avoid New York

74% of the general public like the Knicks here with the points once again typifying the term public dog. We saw New York in a similar predicament against the Bucks and by good fortune managed to push and not fail to cover. Had New York been priced as a low-range dog it would be far easier to overlook. However, New York was outclassed in that contest and lost by double-digit margins as forecasted. The number presented here could easily be higher had they failed to cover and if the public stays on the Knicks they probably won’t as any will be sucked out of them through probable line moves downward.

Reasons To Back Miami

As mentioned the Heat have not played a game in four days and thus have had a lengthier time to prepare and recover for this contest. Furthermore, the Heat have only played one game of the Sunshine State since the 2018-19 season kicked off. There is far less travel wear and tear on the Heat compared to the Knicks who have already racked up a fair amount of frequent flyer miles in the opening stages of the season. We fancy Miami as the fresher of the two which is a disadvantage to New York who is the weaker team already in terms of quality.

Get more details: New York Knicks at Miami Heat NBA Match-Up

New York Knicks at Miami Heat Prediction 10/24/2018

Two areas make this game a mismatch for the Knicks: rebounding and defense. On average, Miami generates nearly 10 more offensive rebounds per game at 52 to New York's 42.8 orbg while giving away only 43.7 rpg to New York's 50.5 rbg. Very simply, Miami is better on the glass, and when you factor this in with Miami being the fresher of the two teams, the Heat can play a physical and in-your-face game longer than the Knicks. This does not fare well for the Knicks who will also be getting bullied by the crowd in a hostile environment. Swallow the points.

Free Pick: 
Take Miami -8
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