New Orleans Pelicans at Cleveland Cavaliers Pick - Odds and Against the Spread Predictions

January 5, 8:00 PM EST

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Cleveland +7.5

The Cleveland Cavaliers (8-31) will host the New Orleans Pelicans (17-22) in an Eastern Conference versus Western Conference collision set to take place at the Quicken Loans Arena in Cleveland, Ohio. The tip is set for 8:00 PM ET and will be aired on FSN. Between both sides, the series has been well balanced as each party has won four of the last eight meetings. The two teams had not met since March of 2018 when the Cavaliers defeated the Pelicans in The Land by a score of 107-102, producing a slim cover as a 4.5-point favorite.

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New Orleans Pelicans at Cleveland Cavaliers Overview

New Orleans Pelicans

The Pelicans come in off a 126-121 loss on the road at the Brooklyn Nets when New Orleans fell on Wednesday in yet another road game that they were favored to win as a one-point choice. The Pelicans have now lost six straight outside of NOLA.

Cleveland Cavaliers

If things seemed rough on the road for the Cavaliers, Cleveland might take the cake here as they come into this contest on the heels of an eight-game losing streak. The Cavaliers head into this contest off a loss at home last night when they were polished by Utah by a score of 117-91 failing to come under a 9.5-point line. The Cavs lost by nearly an identical margin in their hosting duties against Miami two days prior when they were defeated 117-92 as a 5.5-point underdog.

Reasons To Back New Orleans

The apparent reason to fade the Pelicans is their grisly road record of 4-16 SU on the road their present losing streak. However, the market is persistent in its support for New Orleans breaking that skid and coming up with a win in Cleveland as a significant favorite. Yet, New Orleans has significant disadvantages against it including committing more turnovers compared to Cleveland, being outscored in bench points by a margin of 14.5 points, and owning one of the weakest defenses in the NBA that gives up a 26th ranked 115.5 points per game. All of these variables make New Orleans a very dicey proposition carrying this kind of lumber.

Reasons To Back Cleveland

The Cavaliers have won five of their eight games this season in The Q. Thought Cleveland has taken a considerable leap backward compared to where it was a year ago, Cleveland still pays a robust form of basketball on its own court. Given the fact Cleveland has been getting its doors blown off as of late, it is significant that we see the Cavaliers taking back fewer points compared to last night's outing as the opposite would be expected to be the case given the nature of the book to inflate the point spread to attract action on Cleveland. The public has also swung the other way with 73% spotting the road points to the hosts. This looks like a clear-cut overreaction we can take advantage of on a team's whose stock is in the cellar.

Pelicans at Cavaliers Prediction 01/05/2019

This situation seems like a classic win no-cover spot for the Pelicans. New Orleans will finally get the monkey off their back, but the Cavaliers will not make it easy for them. Cleveland will make this a four-quarter game and perhaps even hold a substantial lead at one point when NOLA's Anthony Davis or Jrue Holiday are catching a breather.

Free Pick: 
Take Cleveland +7.5

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