Nets vs. Kings Odds, Trends, Analysis

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Date: 
November 15, 10:00 PM EST
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
BKN +2/ SAC -2
Moneyline: 
Brooklyn Nets +121 / -141
Total: 
224.5

Notable Injuries

Nets

  • Kyrie Irving (Out) Personal
  • T.J. Warren (Out) Foot
  • Seth Curry (Probable) Injury Management
  • Ben Simmons (Questionable) Knee
  • Yuta Watanabe (Probable) Ankle
  • Nicolas Claxton (Probable) Eye


Kings

    Recent Form

    So far, the Nets have put together an overall record of 6-8, while going 6-7-1 vs the spread. Over the team's past 3 games, Brooklyn has an overall record of 2-1, including going 2-1 against the spread.

    In their previous game, the Nets were favored to win vs the Lakers. However, their 116-103 loss gave them both a straight-up and ATS loss. Brooklyn was not able to turn things around in the 2nd half, as they trailed the Lakers by 13 going into halftime. Leading the team in scoring was Kevin Durant, as he contributed 31 points while hitting 50.0% of his shots.

    So far, the Kings have put together an overall record of 6-6, while going 8-3-1 vs the spread. Against the Nets, the Kings are looking to add to their current 3 game winning streak. The average margin of victory across these matchups is 6.67.

    Sacramento is going for yet another win, as they previously defeated the Warriors at home. With the 122-115 victory, they also covered the spread as 4 point underdogs. Sacramento went into halftime with a narrow 2 point lead before being able to slightly add to that margin by the games end. In the win, Domantas Sabonis led the team in scoring with 26 points on a field goal percentage of 58.8%.

    The Historicals

    In last season's head-to-head matchups, the teams split the season series. In these games, each team won on their home floor. Last year, the Nets saw a drop in overall scoring when playing the Kings, averaging 105.0 points per game. Like the Nets, the Kings scored at a rate below their season average, finishing with 98.5 points per game vs Brooklyn. The Nets have had the better record vs the spread over the last 5 games, going 4-1. The team's average scoring margin in these contests sits at 9 points per game. Brooklyn and Sacramento averaged a combined 227 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 2-3.

    Analysis

    Through 14 games, Brooklyn is averaging 110.1 points per game (21st). Coming into today's game, the Nets will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 11.5 made 3's per game. If the Brooklyn offense is going to improve, they must continue to do a good job avoiding turnovers. Currently, the unit is 9th in fewest turnovers per game.

    Currently, the Nets defense is ranked 18th in points allowed. So far, opposing teams are averaging 112.12 points per game vs the unit.

    A key injury to note in this game is the absence of the Nets 2nd leading scorer, Kyrie Irving. In his 8 games, Irving is averaging 26.88 points per game while dishing out 5.12 assists and grabbing 5.12 rebounds. In his absence, the team will be looking for even more production out of Kevin Durant, who leads the team and is 8th in the NBA at 30.57 points per contest. For the season, he has connected on 52.4% of his field goal attempts while taking 23.2% of the team's shots from the floor.

    Coming into today's action, Sacramento is averaging 116.8 points per contest. This figure places them 6th in the league. The Kings come into the game as one of the league's better 3-point shooting teams, connecting at a rate of 14.3 made 3's per game. In addition to their strong outside shooting numbers, the team is playing at one of the fastest paces in the NBA, averaging 101.2 possessions per contest.

    On defense, the Kings will look for some improved play, as they are currently the 29th-ranked unit in points allowed per game.

    On offense, De'Aaron Fox leads the Nets in scoring at 25.55 points per game, placing him 14th in the NBA. Overall, Fox has hit 54.8% of his shots while accounting for 20.7% of the team's looks from the field. In today's game, he will be working against a defensive unit that is 20th in points allowed to point guards. At 17.92 points per game, Domantas Sabonis is the 2nd leading scorer for the Nets. For the season, he is 30th in the league in player efficiency rating while posting an effective field goal percentage of 27.37.

    Betting Trends

    • Nets are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
    • Nets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
    • Kings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
    • Kings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

    Nets vs. Kings Prediction ATS 11/15/22

    The Kings are white hot! They've won four of their last five games and scored over 120 points in each of those wins. Brooklyn simply doesn't have the scoring punch to stay with them. The betting market is always slow to react when an average team turns into a good team, but the bookies have been tortoise slow at recognizing that the Kings aren't the same club they've been for the past ten plus years. I think Kings win and cover easily Tuesday night!

    Free Pick: 
    Take Sacramento -2