Monday's NBA Picks - Odds Analysis & Predictions

Two first-round NBA playoff series came to quick ends Sunday, and another one could do the same Monday, as the bubble postseason continues. Who are we playing with our free NBA playoff picks for Monday?

Bucks 13.5/226 vs. Magic, 1:30 pm ET, NBA TV

Milwaukee leads this series 2-1 after winning Game 3 Saturday 121-107. The Bucks jumped out to a 70-43 halftime lead, pushed that advantage to 34 points in the third quarter, allowed Orlando to get within 12 in the fourth but held on for both the victory and the cover as 13-point favorites.

So since losing the opener of this series, Milwaukee is 2-0 both SU and ATS.

After allowing the Magic to shoot 49 percent from the floor in Game 1 the Bucks have held Orlando to just under 40 percent shooting over the last two games.

Milwaukee is also now 6-1 SU, 5-2 ATS vs. the Magic this season.

Free NBA Pick: We're 2-1 ATS on this series, taking the Bucks all three games. Milwaukee seems to have regained its mojo over the last couple of games and should close out this series with wins Monday and Wednesday. And while the line keeps going up, we're still sticking with the Bucks.

Rockets -3.5/220 vs. Thunder, 4 pm ET, TNT

Houston took the first two games of this series, but Oklahoma City pulled within 2-1 with a 119-107 overtime victory Saturday. That game was close throughout, as neither team led by more than 12 points during regulation. But the Thunder then scored the first 12 points in extra time for the victory.

The Rockets won the first two games by scores of 123-108 and 111-98, but Game 2 was much closer than that final score might indicate.

These teams have now split six meetings this season, but OKC is 4-2 ATS.

On the injury front, Houston continues to play without G Russell Westbrook. Meanwhile, Thunder C Steven Adams, who's grabbed 36 rebounds in this series, is listed as questionable for Monday with a sore knee.

Free NBA Pick: We're 1-2 ATS on this series, backing OKC all three games. Also, the underdog is 2-1 both SU and ATS in this series. Our guess is this series will go seven games, which leads us to believe the Thunder, plus the points, are the right pick for this Game 4.

Heat -6.5/217 vs. Pacers, 6:30 pm ET, TNT

Miami leads this series 3-0 after winning Game 3 Saturday 124-115. The Heat led by 20 points in the second quarter, allowed Indiana to pull within two points several times in the fourth quarter but used a late 8-0 run to ice the victory and earn the cash as five-point favorites.

Miami won the opener of this series last Tuesday 113-101, covering at -4, then won Game 2 Thursday 109-100, again covering at -4.

The Heat are now 5-2 both SU and ATS since the re-start when Jimmy Butler plays. They're also now 6-1 SU, 5-2 ATS vs. the Pacers this season.

Free NBA Pick: We're 3-0 ATS on this series, picking Miami all three games. And Indiana is still missing Domantas Sabonis. We'll stick with the Heat for Game 4.

Lakers -7.5/225 vs. Blazers, 9 pm ET, TNT

LA leads this series 2-1 after taking Game 3 Saturday 116-108. The Lakers actually trailed Portland 57-53 at the half but used a 40-29 third quarter to take the lead for good. Los Angeles pushed its advantage to 14 points with a minute to go, then hung on for the cover as a 7.5-point favorite.

The Blazers took the opener of this series last Tuesday 100-93, winning outright as 6.5-point dogs. But the Lakers are 2-0 both SU and ATS since then.

LA is also now 4-2 both SU and ATS vs. Portland this season.

Blazers G Damian Lillard is dealing with a sore finger, and while he scored 34 points Saturday, it affected his game.

Free NBA Pick: We're 2-1 ATS on this series, picking Portland for Games 1 and 2 but jumping to the Lakers for Game 3. But also we believe the Blazers can take this series to six games, at least. We'll jump back to Portland plus the points here for Game 4.

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