Minnesota Timberwolves at Miami Heat NBA Pick - Odds and Against the Spread Predictions

December 30, 6:00 PM EST

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Miami -3.5

The Miami Heat (17-17) and the Minnesota Timberwolves (16-19) will face off in an Eastern versus Western Conference clash on Sunday, December 30th, 2018. The tip is set for 6:00 PM ET and will be televised on FSN. The Heat have won three of the last four meetings between both parties. The previous collision between the two franchises came in November of 2017 where the Heat scorched the Wolves on their own floor by a score of 109-97 covering as a 3.5-point favorite.

Bet your NBA Game Favorites at an online sportsbook where your credit card WILL work for deposits and where you'll receive a generous 50% bonus up to $250 FREE: Bovada Sports Book.

Minnesota Timberwolves at Miami Heat Overview

Minnesota Timberwolves

The Timberwolves come in off a shocking 123-120 overtime loss at home on Friday to the Atlanta Hawks. Despite falling to the upset bid, the T-Wolves were expected to win with ease as they were favored by 9.5 points.

Miami Heat

The Heat come into this contest in good form as they have won six of their last seven fixtures overall. Over this span, the Heat have covered in all seven of these contests. Building upon this premise, Miami is 9-1 ATS in its last ten contests. Most recently, Miami defeated Cleveland on Friday by a score of 118-94 as 10-point chalk.

Reasons To Back Minnesota

The T-Wolves are subjected to an overreaction first by the huge upset they endured combined with the fact that Minnesota is 4-13 SU on the road this season. In light of these two narratives that direct action away from Minnesota the T-Wolves are priced by just over a bucket. This is significant concerning the fact that Miami has been a cash cow as of late for all takers. Had circumstances been re-arranged with Miami dropping a few games or Minnesota not being up-ended by Atlanta, perhaps the T-Wolves would be favored here. This is where we step in.

Reasons To Avoid Miami

With the exception of the Cleveland victory most recently, the rest of Miami’s 9-1 ATS record over its last ten games consists of scenarios where the Heat were underdogs. Now, they go from being the hunter to the hunted but own two critical deficiencies that can set them up for a let-down. First off, Miami is far inferior from the candy stripe as they hit 69.6% of their free throw attempts which puts them 29th in the league. Minnesota hits a far better 79.2% of their shots from the free throw line placing them 8th in the NBA. This is a significant advantage for Minnesota as they are 10% more effective in this area which generally becomes a huge factor in close games. The bad news for Miami is that this is one of those contests projected to be settled by a few key possessions. Moreover, the Timberwolves also own the edge in turnovers which once again is essential in a match of this nature.

Timberwolves at Heat Prediction 12/30/2018

This game has upset written all over it, and thus we'll trade the points away here to enhance our return on a Money Line play. Minnesota comes into the affair low enough on the public radar (thanks to their recent debacle) to ultimately trip up a Miami team whose stock is through the roof. Minnesota will use its advantages to pick up its fifth road win of the season.

Free Pick: 
Take Minnesota +145

Bet your Timberwolves at Heat NBA Pick at a sportsbook where your credit card will work for depositing and where if you deposit $100 you get an additional $100 FREE! --> Intertops Sportsbook Bonus.