Miami Heat at Toronto Raptors Point Spread Pick - Odds and Predictions

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Date: 
January 9, 7:35 PM EST
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Toronto -5
Total: 
207

The Miami Heat will leave the sunshine and venture to the Great White North to face off with the Toronto Raptors at the Air Canada Centre for a critical Eastern Conference clash. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:35 PM ET and scheduled to be aired on both FSN and TSN. The Raptors have had their way in this inter-divisional series as of late. The Raptors have won four of the previous five meetings between both parties. Most recently, Toronto had to resort to theatrics to escape the Heat in April of 2017 at the Air Canada Centre. The final was 96-94 despite the Raptors being ahead by as much as 18 in the aforementioned bout.

Miami Heat at Toronto Raptors Overview

The Heat come in on a four-game winning streak but they have had to sweat out their last two outings. First, the Heat managed to get by rival New York at home in overtime on Friday in a 107-103 final. Miami would follow this up with a scare at home when they hosted the Utah Jazz on Sunday. The Heat would edge out the Notes by a score of a 103-102. Toronto has played exceptional basketball all-season long. After Monday night’s dramatic one-point overtime road win at Brooklyn, the Raptors are 8-2 SU in their previous ten contests.

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Miami at Toronto NBA Key Betting Trends

  • The Heat come in at 22-17 straight up whilst owning a 16-21 record against the spread.
  • Toronto comes in with a stellar 28-10 record overall whilst producing a 20-15 record against the spread.
  • The Raptors continue to be a force to be reckoned with at home this season as they have now improved to 14-1 SU in the Air Canada Centre.
  • The Raptors have won their last 12 outings in Toronto.

Public Money

So far, we have seen the consensus take a liking to Toronto in this spot, given the notion of the Raptors curating home hosting duties. Despite this see we have seen the market drop by a point to reflect action on Miami. In Over/Under markets, we have also seen the number rise by half of a point to indicate action on the Over.

Miami Heat at Toronto Raptors Pick

There are several components that hard sell Toronto in this market. First, they have had the upper hand as of late but we pay no credence to that given the fact the last meeting was nearly a year ago. However, recency biases can still be applied by some. Furthermore, there is always the notion of Toronto getting this one at home. That in itself sells the Raptors in this market. When you combine these narratives with the fact the Heat nearly lost at home to one of the worst teams in the West, Miami looks like an easy out here. However, Toronto though they did not have to journey far to Brooklyn still had to undergo the rigors of travel. The Raptors will also enter this contest on less rest compared to the Heat. When you add in the fact that Toronto’s dominance at home inflates the price of this market, the Heat offer tremendous value in this scenario.

Free Pick: 
Take Miami +5
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