Miami Heat at Portland Trail Blazers NBA Pick - Odds and Predictions

March 12, 10:30 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Portland -6

The Miami Heat kick off a three-game West Coast swing with a stop at the Moda Center for Monday night's tilt against the Portland Trail Blazers. Game time on ESPN is 10:30 p.m. (ET).

Miami at Portland Game Overview

Miami (36-31) is 4-1 straight-up with a 4-0-1 record against the spread in its last five games following Saturday's 129-102 romp over Washington as a four-point home favorite. The total went OVER 207 points in that game, and it has gone OVER in eight of its last 11 games. The Heat head on the road for their next three contests at 16-18 SU on the road this season with a 22-11-1 record ATS. The total has gone OVER in their last five road games.

They were eight different Miami players in double figures on Saturday led by James Johnson's 20 points. The power forward went 8-for-9 from the field while adding five assists. Goran Dragic continues to lead the team in scoring with an average of 17.1 points per game, and he added 10 points against Washington. The Heat are well down the list in scoring this season with an average of 102.4 PPG, but they have managed to exceed that average in eight of their last nine games. One injury of note has center Hassan Whiteside listed as doubtful for Monday night.


The Trail Blazers continue to play exceptionally well in the Western Conference with a straight-up nine-game winning streak. They have also put some serious money in bettor’s pockets along for the ride at 8-1 ATS. The total went OVER 218 points in Friday’s 125-198 victory against Golden State as slight 1.5-point home favorites. At 40-26 overall, Portland is holding down third place in the West. It is 36-26-4 ATS in those 66 games with a 17-13-3 record ATS on its home court. The total has stayed UNDER in three of its last four home games.

Much like Miami, most of Portland’s success this season has been at the other end of the court on defense with a points-allowed average of 103.2 that is fifth-best in the NBA. When it comes to scoring, Damian Lillard is at the top of the list with an average of 26.8 PPG. He put up 28 points against Golden State with CJ McCollum adding 30 more to help pace the win. The Trail Blazers are also one of the top rebounding teams in the league with an average of 45.2 boards per game. Center Jusef Nurkic leads the way in that category with 8.4 rebounds a game.

Get more details: Miami at Portland NBA Match-Up

Miami at Portland Game Betting Trends

  • The Heat are 6-1-2 ATS in their last nine games following a straight-up win, and they are 8-1-2 ATS in their previous 11 games after scoring at least 100 points in their previous outing. The total has gone OVER in their last five games against the West.
  • The Trail Blazers have gone 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine Monday games and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against the Southeast Division. The total has stayed UNDER in 20 of their last 28 games against the East.
  • Head-to-head, the home team has covered in five of the last seven meetings, and the total has stayed UNDER in four of the previous five meetings in Portland.

Search for the best odds: Live Basketball Lines

Miami at Portland Prediction 03/12/2018

Miami continues to play exceptionally well on its home court, but winning games on the road has been a different story. It has lost its last seven road games SU while posting a profitable 5-1-1 record ATS. I am going with Portland SU, but I still think the Heat should be able to keep this game close enough to cover with the points as each team steps things up on defense. Bettors are facing a higher than expected total line of 208.5 points making the ‘best bet’ pick the UNDER.

Free Pick: 
Take the Under 208.5

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