Memphis Grizzlies vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Over/Under Pick

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The Oklahoma City Thunder host the Memphis Grizzlies in a Western Conference playoff series opener.
In their last games the Thunder beat the Detroit Pistons 112-111 to get back on track after losing 2 while the Grizzlies beat the Dallas Mavericks 106-105 in OT for their 5th straight win.
The Thunder won 3 of 4 games from the Grizzlies this season including wins in both matches on home court.
The Grizzlies are 6-3-1 ATS in their last 10 games facing the Thunder, but after 5 straight covers Memphis were only 1-2-1 against the line this season.
In the last 19 games between these 2 teams at Oklahoma City the total has gone Over the line 14 times.
The favorite is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 games in this matchup and the home team has won 3 of the 4 games straight up.
This season the Thunder are 34-7 at home with a 23-16-2 ATS mark overall but an even better 17-7-2 point spread record at home versus the West. The Grizzlies are 23-18 on the road with a 17-21-2 record against the spread.

Point Spread: Oklahoma City -7.5
Total Line: 190.5
Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Memphis Grizzlies: 50-32 SU / 36-43-3 ATS
Oklahoma City Thunder: 59-23 SU / 43-37-2 ATS

Key Betting Trends
MEM is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
MEM is 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 road games.
MEM has an Under record of 19-7 in their last 26 road games.
OKC is 8-2-2 ATS in their last 12 home games.
OKC is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
OKC has an Under record of 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Sagarin Power Rankings
Memphis Grizzlies: 92.90
Oklahoma City Thunder: 96.50

Key Player Injuries

Grizzlies
Quincy Pondexter G/F Sidelined Dec 9 foot Out for season

Thunder
NONE

Total Line Pick
Sure the Grizzlies can play defense on the road, but it's their improved shooting that will send this over the total.