Memphis Grizzlies at Houston Rockets Odds Analysis - Free Pick

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Date: 
February 26, 8:00 PM EST
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
MEM +11 / HOU -11
Total: 
237

The Memphis Grizzlies (28-29) will hit the road to take on the Houston Rockets (37-20) at the Toyota Center for a high-profile Western Conference collision. The tip is scheduled for 8:00 PM ET and set to be televised on Altitude Sports. Memphis and Houston met twice already this season and have split the series with a win each. Houston defeated Memphis in January when the two sides last met in Music City by a score of 121-110 to cover easily as a 4.5-point road favorite.

Memphis Grizzlies at Houston Rockets Key Injury Concerns:

The Grizzlies will be without Forward Brandon Clarke and Guard Grayson Allen, both of whom are recovering from hip injuries. Memphis will also be without Forward Jaren Jackson, Jr., who has been an instrumental playmaker for the Grizzlies all season long.

Memphis Grizzlies at Houston Rockets Overview:

Memphis Grizzlies
The Grizzlies come into this contest in poor form, losing their last three matches overall. Most recently, Memphis squared off with the Los Angeles Clippers on Monday in the City of Angels and fell to the Clippers by a score of 124-97. Despite being granted 11 points, the Grizzlies were nowhere near close to coming in under the number.

Houston Rockets
The Rockets come into this game in contrasting form when compared to their counterparts. The Rockets are presently riding a four-game winning streak and have gone 3-1 ATS over this span. The Rockets hosted the New York Knicks on Monday and defeated the Knicks 123-112 narrowly failing to cover as a 12.5-point favorite.

Reasons To Avoid Memphis

Given Memphis holding the present eighth seed in the Western Conference standings, there are some that have called this game a must-win for the Grizzlies if they wish to hold on firmly to their present playoff seed. While this narrative is indeed true, this is no reason to back the Grizzlies as this is a notorious cause for ripped tickets as much as any. The fact that Memphis is also 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games makes the points look that much more appetizing, but if anything, it could be nothing more than a quintessential trap bet.

Reasons To Back Houston

At home this year, Clutch City or H-Town's Finest has been a tough riddle to solve as they are 20-8 SU on their hardwood. Combining this with the fact Memphis is 12-16 SU away from the Music City; the Rockets are in prime position to notch a win. Given the injuries that Memphis bodes as it heads into this game, the margin can be significant. After all, Houston operates a +7.9 margin at home across the board regardless of who the play. When you factor in Memphis' injuries provided Houston does what it is supposed to do, laying an additional three-pointer to get a win doesn't seem all too bad with respect to the Rocket's average scoring margin in Houston. Moreover, Memphis has lost its last two road games by 12 points or more, so a cover is certainly possible given the current asking price of the Rockets.

Grizzlies at Rockets Prediction 2/26/20

Houston will go to work on the Grizzlies and take this team likely wire to gate. I expect the Rockets to continue their winning ways and do so emphatically, building an enormous lead and never looking back. I am not one for swallowing points like these regularly, but in this case, the juice is worth the squeeze.
 
Free Pick: 
Take the Rockets -11
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