Indiana Pacers at Milwaukee Bucks Pick

March 7, 8:00 PM EST

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Milwaukee -10.5

The Indiana Pacers (42-23) will hit the road to take on the Milwaukee Bucks (48-16) at the Fiserv Forum for a high-profile Central Division collision. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:00 PM and will be televised on TNT. The two teams last met on February 13th where Milwaukee would hand Indiana a 106-97 loss on their own floor in Indianapolis. The victory enabled Milwaukee to cover as a 4.5-point choice. Overall, this series has been a well-balanced divisional rivalry as each team has won two of the last four meetings.

Indiana Pacers at Milwaukee Bucks Overview

Indiana Pacers

The Pacers come into this contest off a home win on Tuesday when they hosted divisional rival Chicago. As a 6.5-point favorite, Indiana was successful in generating a cover as they defeated their counterparts by a score of 105-96.

Milwaukee Bucks

The Bucks come in off a two-game losing streak capped off most recently by a harrowing loss on the road at the Phoenix Suns on Monday. As a 13-point underdog, the Deer was shocked and fell by a score of 114-105.

Reasons To Avoid Indiana

Some of the sharper sportsbooks have given an additional half of a point in this market which suggest that there is little faith that the Pacers can cover the number. From how it appears, Indiana looks too easy here as the general public has smothered the Pacers with the points here as we have seen upwards of 98% of the cash action come in on Indiana in this market. Given the fact that the Pacers are a substantial dog in this spot, this raises a huge red flag that the Bucks may actually be undervalued.

Reasons To Back Milwaukee

While many may revel in Indiana's rugged defense that surrenders an NBA-best 103.7 points per game, the question remains will they be able to curtail Milwaukee's second-ranked scoring offense that produces 117.3 per game. Furthermore, should Indiana have to go to their offense to get some help they will find themselves behind the 8-ball as they sit 21st in the league scoring 108.7 points per game. On average Milwaukee’s offense scores 8.6 more points per game. It doesn’t help matters that Indiana will likely put the ball in Milwaukee’s hands more as they commit more turnovers compared to the Bucks.

Pacers at Bucks Prediction 03/07/2019

This is Milwaukee's first game home after completing an exhaustive five-game road trip. Needless to say, the Deer are probably very happy about being back home where they are 25-5 SU this season. Despite the public stressing Milwaukee's two-game losing streak, this is the ideal scenario for the Bucks to bounce back with authority. They will do just that. Milwaukee will gallop all over the Pacers here and cover this number with little resistance.

Free Pick: 
Take Milwaukee -10.5
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