Denver Nuggets at Houston Rockets Pick

Date: 
January 22, 8:00 PM EST
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Houston -8
Total: 
228.5

The Denver Nuggets (30-13) will hit the road to take on the Houston Rockets (26-16) at the Toyota Center for a high-profile Western Conference collision. The tip is scheduled for 8:00 PM ET and televised on Altitude Sports. Denver and Houston met twice already this season and have split the series with a win each. Houston last hosted Denver on New Year's Eve and defeated the Nuggets 130-104 to cover easily as a six-point favorite.

Denver Nuggets at Houston Rockets Key Injury Concerns

The Nuggets will be without Power Forward Paul Millsap, who remains out indefinitely with a knee contusion. Denver's depth at this position will be tested as Power Forward Mason Plumlee will also be unavailable due to a foot injury.

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Denver Nuggets at Houston Rockets Overview

Denver Nuggets

The Nuggets come into this contest in overall excellent form, going 7-3 SU and 6-4 ATS in their previous ten outings. Most recently, the men from the Mile High City traveled to the Twin Cities to square off with the Minnesota Timberwolves on Monday. Closing as a four-point underdog, the Nuggets staged an outright upset defeating the Wolves 107-100.

Houston Rockets

The Rockets come into this game in contrasting form when compared to their counterparts. The Rockets have gone 1-5 SU and ATS in their last six outings, presently riding a four-game losing streak. On Monday, Houston hosted rival Oklahoma City and fell to the Thunder outright 112-107 despite closing as a 7.5-point favorite.

Reasons To Avoid Denver

Anytime I see something like 77% of the consensus on an underdog, a red flag is immediately raised. It is truly inexplicable as to why the Rockets are favored by this much. It almost seems that Denver looks too easy here, and usually, when such is the case, it is best to look the other way. After all, Houston lost at home in its last stint against a team with a worse record, and the market has not even blinked an eye at that. In fact, the opening price for this market mirrored the closing line in Houston's match Monday against Oklahoma City (-7.5). Why? Because Houston lit this team up a month ago at this very venue. I am hard-pressed to believe the market would be giving away the Nuggets at a steal of a price, especially considering they just staged an upset as a road underdog on Martin Luther King Day.

Reasons To Back Houston

The present state of Houston basketball has enabled the Rockets to be offered up at a discount price. Concerning the Rockets' current trends against the spread and present losing streak, we can trust that the Rockets will be working at a reduced number here compared to their counterparts who have a higher market credibility given their overall strong away record this season (Denver is 13-7 SU on the road). In spite of their recent spate, Clutch City still stands at 14-7 SU in H-Town. On average, Houston nevertheless wins at home by an average of 7.3 points, this is with the Rockets’ last three losses (all of which were at home) were factored in where the Rockets lost by an average of eight points. It can be surmised that should Houston bring their A-Game and hone its second-ranked scoring offense (118.5 points per game) to expose Denver’s stout defense like it did in December, that the Rockets can win this game by double digits at minimum.

Nuggets at Rockets Prediction

This match-up has all the makings for Houston to make a statement. In the series between both sides, the Rockets are in an ideal situation to do that as the Home Team has gone 5-0 SU and ATS in the last five meetings. I expect that streak to extend to six games, and the Rockets will cruise to an emphatic win. Lay the points.

Free Pick: 
Take Houston -8