Denver Nuggets at Dallas Mavericks Free ATS Pick - Odds - NBA Predictions

December 4, 8:30 PM EST

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Dallas -2.5

The Dallas Mavericks (6-17) host the Denver Nuggets (13-9) in a Western Conference match up that will take place at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX at 8:30 PM ET. The Mavericks are the 2.5-point home favorite with the total on the NBA board at 208.

The Nuggets were at home in their latest where they knocked off the L.A. Lakers 115-110. Jamal Murray was the high scorer for Denver putting up 28 points on 8/20 shooting and he hit five of his eight 3-pointers. Brandon Ingram was the high scorer for L.A. with 20 points on 6/14 shooting. The Nuggets outscored the Lakers by 17 points in the 4th quarter to get the victory. For the game Denver shot 46% from the floor and Los Angeles shot 44.2%. Denver’s five-point margin covered -4-point spread line while the total fell short of 222.5 line. The Nuggets have now won two in a row and three of their last four games.


In their last game the Mavericks hosted the L.A. Clippers and came away with a solid 108-82 win. J.J. Barea came off the bench and was the high scorer for Dallas with 21 points on 8 of12 shooting and he hit four of his five 3-pointers and had 10 assists. Lou Williams was the high scorer for L.A. with 18 points on only 4/16 shooting and he was one of only two players that scored in double figures. The Mavs outscored the Clippers by 21 points in the first half and for the game they shot 45.6% from the floor and they held L.A. to only 34.9% shooting. Dallas covered the spread as a 5-point favorite and the total went Under. The Mavericks had lost two in a row before the win over the Clippers and they have the fewest wins in the Western Conference.

The Nuggets are 3-7 on the road this season and they rank 13th in ppg, tied for 13th in 3-pt FG%, and 25th in free throw percentage. On defense Denver ranks 16th in ppg allowed, 25th in 3-pt FG% allowed, and 3rd in free-throw percentage allowed.

The Mavericks are 4-10 at home this season and they rank 27th in ppg, tied for 19th in 3-pt FG%, and 16th in free throw percentage. On defense Dallas ranks tied for 9th in ppg allowed, 17th in 3-pt FG% allowed, and 17th in free-throw percentage allowed.

This is the first game between these teams this season and last season the Nuggets took the series winning three of the four games against the Mavericks.

Denver at Dallas NBA Key Betting Trends

  • The Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.
  • The Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after a straight up win.
  • The Nuggets have an Under record of 4-1 in their last 5 games.
  • The Mavericks are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 home games.
  • The Mavericks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after a straight up win.
  • The Mavericks have an Under record of 10-4 in their last 14 games.

Denver a Dallas Betting Angles

The Mavericks are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games against the Nuggets.
The home team is 9-3-1 ATS in the last 13 games between these teams.
The Underdog is 17-8-1 ATS in the last 26 games between these teams.

Nuggets at Mavericks Prediction 12/4/2017

C Mason Plumlee finished plus 26 in their latest, but I just don’t feel that he is as defensively sound as C Nikola Jokic who is out for this game. Dallas has played well at home in recent games going 3-2 including in that number was an overtime loss to the Celtics. The Nuggets are just 1-5 in their last six on the road losing all but the Knicks loss (110-116) by double digits.

Free Pick: 
Take the Dallas Mavericks -2.5 (CK)