Dallas Mavericks at Toronto Raptors Free Pick - Odds and ATS Predictions

October 26, 7:30 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Toronto -11.5

The Toronto Raptors (5-0) will host the Dallas Mavericks (2-2) in a Western Conference vs. Eastern Conference Quarterfinal clash set at the Scotiabank Arena in the place known as “The Great White North”. The game is set for a 7:30 PM ET tip and is scheduled to be televised on both FSN and SPORTSNET. The Raptors have won five of the last six meetings between both parties. Most recently, overtime was required to declare a winner when the Raps hosted the Mavs in Toronto in March. The final score was Toronto winning 122-115 allowing Dallas to cover as an 11-point dog.

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Dallas Mavericks at Toronto Raptors Overview

Dallas Mavericks

The Mavericks saw a two-game winning streak come to an end on Wednesday night when they lost in the ATL to the Atlanta Hawks by a score of 111-104. In the aforementioned contest, the Mavericks were seen as a road favorite which had to have raised some eyebrows given the fact they were one of the weaker teams in the West in 2017. In light of this, Dallas has been favored in all four of their matches this season and have gone 2-2 ATS while doing so.

Toronto Raptors

Toronto comes into this contest undefeated. Four of their five wins came at home in the Great White North where the Raptors are known for a robust home court advantage. The list of Toronto victims, include Cleveland, Boston, Charlotte, and most recently Minnesota. The Raptors also own a road win over the Washington Wizards in D.C.

Reasons To Avoid Toronto

Given Toronto’s play at home this season and as a whole, you can expect to pay a premium here to back the Raptors on their own court. Last year, Toronto had the best win and loss records at home compared to any other NBA team in the regular season at 37-9 SU. However, the Raps’ against the spread record in Toronto was far more marginal with an ATS record at home of 24-21-1 showcasing this propensity.

Reasons To Back Dallas

Outside of one of the more apparent angles that the Raptors are likely taking back a ludicrous number here given the difference in perceived quality and home-court advantage, Dallas is one of the best teams in the league in giving up second chances. The Mavericks are fourth overall in defensive rebounds averaging just 41.2 boards surrendered per game. This is instrumental in keeping the likes of Kyle Lowry, and Kawhi Leonard mitigated in this contest.

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Dallas at Toronto NBA Prediction 10/26/2018

The last time the Mavs came to Toronto, they hung with them, and they remember this too. This Dallas Mavericks team seemingly is on the right trajectory to improve in 2018 even if they come up with a likely loss here. However, Dallas can still make a statement by keeping this one close and chances are they likely will as Toronto stares a road trip to an undefeated Milwaukee in the face after this contest. Perhaps, Toronto may be caught looking ahead.

Free Pick: 
Take Dallas +11.5

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