Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Clippers Odds & Picks
The first round of the NBA playoffs only gives us one Game 7, which the Maverick and Clippers will play Sunday afternoon in Los Angeles. The Clippers may own home-court advantage for this contest but that hasn't meant squat in this series so far, considering the visiting teams have won every game. But doesn't that sound like a trend due for a correction? And how are we playing this game with our free NBA playoffs betting pick?
NBA Playoffs Betting Odds
The NBA betting market opened the Clippers at -6.5 for Sunday's game, with an over/under of right around 215. Early betting action then dropped that total five points, to 210. Any bettors out there who think Dallas might win this game outright could get +240 on the Game 7 money line at Westgate sportsbook.
Mavericks-Clippers NBA Betting Preview
This series is tied at three games apiece following LA's 104-97 Game 6 victory in Dallas Friday night. That game was close throughout, and the Mavericks led most of the way. But the Clippers used a 9-2 run to take a 99-90 lead with just under two minutes to go and held on from there for the season-extending win and the cover as favorites of 3.5 points. Los Angeles shot 47 percent from the floor Friday as Kawhi Leonard hit 18/25 on his way toward 45 points. The Clippers also held Dallas to just 42 percent FG shooting. The Mavericks took the first two games of this series at Staples Center by shooting the lights out. Los Angeles then took Games 3 and Game 4 in Dallas. The Mavs then won Game 5 back in LA but the Clippers won Game 6 in Big D. So this is the first NBA playoff series ever to begin with six straight wins by the visiting teams. Los Angeles played five games better than Dallas during the regular season, 47-25 to 42-30, but the Mavericks took the season series from the Clippers two games to one. So Dallas is 5-4 both SU and ATS this season against LA. Last year Los Angeles beat the Mavericks in six games in the first-round of the Western Conference playoffs. On the injury front Dallas F Luka Doncic is dealing with a sore back/neck and while he's playing he's not at 100 percent.
- Get more details: DAL/LAC 6/6/21 Matchup Stats
Mavericks-Clippers NBA Betting Trends
- The Mavericks played 21-15 SU, 20-16 ATS on the road this season.
- The Clippers played 26-10 SU, 21-15 ATS at home this season.
- The Mavericks played 22-15 SU, 20-17 ATS against teams that made the playoffs this season.
- The Clippers played 19-18 SU, 20-17 ATS against teams that made the playoffs this season.
- The visiting teams are 6-0 both SU and ATS in this series.
Unders played 38-34 in Mavericks games this season, which averaged 223 total points. Totals split 35-35 in Clippers games this season, which averaged 222 points. Unders are 4-2 in this series, as the games have averaged 214 total points against an average O/U of 218.
Mavericks at Clippers Predictions Game 7
We've said from the beginning we thought the Clippers were the better team here and would win this series and we see no reason to walk that back now. Dallas might have Doncic but LA has Leonard, who's come up big in spots like this before. Plus, we gotta believe the home team will win at least once in this series. So we're taking the Clippers here, minus the points, for our free NBA playoffs pick for Sunday.