Dallas Mavericks at LA Clippers Game 5 Pick

June 2, 10:00 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Dall +7/LAC -7
217ov -115

After dropping the first two games of this best-of-seven Western Conference playoff series at home, the Clippers took the next two games in Dallas. So this one's all even heading into a crucial Game 5 Wednesday night in LA. The Mavericks shot the hell out of the ball in winning Games 1 and 2 while the Clippers couldn't throw it in the ocean. But the last two games have played out a little differently. How are we playing Game 5 with our free NBA playoffs betting pick?

NBA Playoffs Betting Odds

The NBA playoff betting market opened the Clippers at -7 for Wednesday night, with an over/under of right around 218. Early betting action then dipped that total to 217.

The best money line price we could find on Dallas winning this game outright was the +258 offered at Pinnacle online sportsbook.

Mavericks-Clippers NBA Betting Preview

This series is tied at two games apiece following LA's 106-81 Game 4 romp in Dallas Sunday. The Clippers led 31-22 after one quarter Sunday and 61-45 at the half, then scored the first eight points out of the locker room and later led by 28 on their way to the easy victory and cover as favorites of 3.5 points.

Los Angeles shot 48 percent from the field Sunday, held the Mavericks to just 35 percent FG shooting, and won the battle on the glass 53-41.

As mentioned above, Dallas took the first two games of this series at Staples Center by scores of 113-103 and 127-12, shooting the ball like crazy. Los Angeles then took Game 3 in Big D 118-108, then Game 4 Sunday.

Los Angeles played five games better than Dallas during the regular season, 47-25 to 42-30, but the Mavs took the season series from the Clippers two games to one.

So Dallas is 4-3 both SU and ATS this season against the Clips.

Last year Los Angeles beat the Mavericks in six games in a first-round Western Conference playoff

On the injury front, Dallas F Luka Doncic is dealing with a sore back/neck, and while he's playing, he's not anywhere near 100 percent.

Mavericks-Clippers NBA Betting Trends

  • The Mavs played 21-15 SU, 20-16 ATS on the road this season.
  • The Clippers played 26-10 SU, 21-15 ATS at home this season.
  • The Mavs played 22-15 SU, 20-17 ATS against teams that made the playoffs this season.
  • The Clippers played 19-18 SU, 20-17 ATS against teams that made the playoffs this season.
  • The visitors are 4-0, both SU and ATS in this series.

Totals Report

Unders played 38-34 in Mavericks games this season, which averaged 223 total points.

Totals split 35-35 in Clippers games this season, which averaged 222 points.

Unders are 5-2 in Mavericks-Clippers games this season, which are averaging 211 total points against an average O/U of 222.

Mavericks at Clippers Game 5 Prediction

Momentum sailed with the Clippers back to LA as their patience paid off. Los Angeles began this series as a -375 favorite to win it; it's now lined at -395. Meanwhile, the Mavericks' best player is ailing. Also, LA led the Association in free-throw shooting this season at 84 percent, and those free-throws come in real handy when trying to put a game away and cover a spread. We like the Clippers here, minus the points, for our free NBA playoffs pick for Wednesday.

Free Pick: 
Take the Clippers -7 -115