Brooklyn Nets at Miami Heat Pick 3-2-19

March 2, 7:30 PM EST

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
BKN +4/ MIA -4

The Brooklyn Nets (32-32) will lock horns with the Miami Heat (27-34) at the American Airlines Arena for an Eastern Conference clash. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 PM and will be televised on FSN. The Nets have owned the upper hand in this series as of late as they have won four of the last five meetings between both sides. Most recently, Brooklyn orchestrated a 104-92 upset as a three-point underdog when they defeated the Heat in Miami when they last met in November.

Brooklyn Nets at Miami Heat Betting Overview:

Brooklyn Nets

The Nets enter into this contest on a two-game losing streak. The Nets were in action last night at home against the Charlotte Hornets were they were defeated 123-112 despite closing as a 2.5-point choice. The Nets have also failed to cover in their previous two matches.

Miami Heat

Overall, the Heat come into this contest in poor form. The Heat have won just one game in their last five matches. However, that one win was a benchmark achievement as they stunned the visiting Golden State Warriors by virtue of late-game heroics by the man himself Dewayne Wade who hit the buzzer-beater to pull the upset. Most recently, the Heat were on the road at the Houston Rockets on Thursday where they fell 112-109 despite closing as a 9.5-point underdog. The Heat have now covered in their last two outings.

Reasons To Avoid Brooklyn

Rest will be a factor here for the Heat as they played just last night and now have to travel nearly 1,300 miles to play this game. They will need all the energy that they can yield as they are up against one of the best defenses the NBA has to offer. The Heat sits sixth in scoring defense (106.8 points per game) which is 5.9 points better than the Nets 21st ranked scoring defense which gives up 112.7 points per contest.

Reasons To Back Miami

The mojo is working with the Heat right now as they have been playing at quite a high level. This is a basketball team that has rumbled with the big dogs of the Western Conference and very simply they are not playing like a below .500 team by any means. Brooklyn's recent successes in this series will only diminish the price of Miami in this market and allow us an opportunity to snag some value.

Nets vs. Heat Prediction ATS - 3/2/19

There is a trend in this series that the Away Team is 6-1 SU in the last seven meetings between both sides. Anyone that backs the Nets here will be banking on this narrative, but as we all know too well, these trends often set up backers for let-downs. The Heat are the fresher team, and they play better defense than their counterparts. This will be enough for the Heat to win and cover here with little resistance offered by the boys from Brooklyn.

Free Pick: 
Take Miami -4