Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals Pick
This game is the first of a three-game series.
In their last game, the Nationals beat the Atlanta Braves 7-0. They scored seven runs on ten hits and held the Braves scoreless on only four hits. The Nats scored five runs in the first two innings, and Howie Kendrick went deep and had three RBI.
In their last game, the Cardinals lost to the Milwaukee Brewers 7-6. The Cardinals scored six runs on five hits, and the Brewers scored seven runs on 12 hits. St. Louis had the lead going into the 9th inning but gave up a grand slam.
The Nationals had lost two in a row before winning their last game, and the Cardinals have lost two games in a row.
This season the Nationals rank 8th in runs scored and 14th in team ERA and the Cardinals rank 21st in runs scored and 5th in team ERA.
Washington: Stephen Strasburg (17-6 3.49 ERA)
St. Louis: Dakota Hudson (15-7 3.38 ERA)
The Nationals have won three of Strasburg's last four starts, and in his last one he gave up two earned runs on four hits in six innings in a 6-2 win over the Minnesota Twins. He has only given up more than two earned runs in one of his last five starts, and that was in the one before his previous outing where he gave up three earned runs in a 4-2 loss to the Atlanta Braves. In Strasburg’s only start against the Cardinals in Washington D.C. on May 2nd he gave up one earned run in six 2/3 innings in a 2-1 Nationals win. The Nationals are 4-1 in his last five starts against the Cardinals, and they are 41-14 in his previous 55 road starts.
The Cardinals had won six straight with Hudson getting the start before losing his last outing where he gave up two earned runs on four hits in six innings in a 2-1 loss to the Colorado Rockies. In his previous six starts, he did not give up any earned runs in four of them. He opposed Strasburg on May 2nd going six innings and giving up one earned run in the 2-1 loss. The Cardinals have won Hudson’s last five home starts, and they have won 19 of his last 26 starts overall.
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The Cardinals are 5-1 in their last six games against the Nationals.
The Cardinals are 35-16 in their last 51 home games against the Nationals.
In the last 13 games between these teams in St. Louis the O/U record is 6-2-5.
Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records
Washington Nationals: 82-66 SU / O/U 69-71 / Run Line W/L 81-67
St. Louis Cardinals: 73-66 SU / O/U 62-80 / Run Line W/L 80-69
Key Betting Trends
- WASH is 2-5 in their last seven games against a right-hand starter
- WASH is 1-4 in their previous five games following a win
- WASH has an Under record of 7-3 in their last ten games
- STL is 25-11 in their last 36 games
- STL is 23-9 in their previous 32 home games
- STL has an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 home games
The Nationals have been streaky as of late, and they had only totaled one run in losing the first two games of their last series before avoiding the sweep with a 7-0 win in the series finale. They are out of the NL East race and with 14 games left they have the Wild Card lead 1.5 games up on the Chicago Cubs and 2.5 games up on the Milwaukee Brewers.
For Washington, this series and their next one are on the road, and they end the season with two series' at home facing the Philadelphia Phillies and Cleveland Indians. The Nationals lost two of three games at home in the first series with the Cardinals this season.
The Cardinals had won two in a row scoring 20 runs before losing their last two games where they have scored eight runs. They are in first place in the NL Central two games up on the Cubs and three games up on the Brewers.
In their remaining four series’ St. Louis faces the Cubs twice with their next one on the road and in their last one of the season at home.
1B Matt Adams is questionable for this game with a shoulder injury and SP Joe Ross, C Kurt Suzuki, and RP Roenis Elias are all out indefinitely.
RP Carlos Martinez is listed as questionable for this game with an illness, and C Matt Wieters is out indefinitely.
- Get more details: Washington at St. Louis MLB Match-up Stats
Nationals at Cardinals Prediction 0916/2019
Both starters in this game have been pitching well as of late, and the Cardinals have won Hudson's last five home starts. In three of his previous four home starts he did not give up any earned runs including his last one where he pitched six scoreless innings and only allowed one hit in a 10-0 win over the San Francisco Giants. When Hudson opposed Strasburg, both pitched well in a low scoring affair that the Nats won and I look for that to happen again. However, Hudson will have the slightly better outing and this time around the Cardinals will get the win.
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