Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies Pick

April 9, 7:05 PM EDT

Betting Odds

WAS+125 / PHI-135
7.5ov -110

Washington beat Philadelphia in the season series last year but the Phillies, now with former Nat Bryce Harper, lead the series this season, following a victory in the opener of this series Monday night. Who do we like for our free MLB pick for Tuesday?

MLB Betting Odds

Tuesday's MLB betting odds opened Philly and Nola at around -135 over Washington and Strasburg, with an over/under of 7.5 runs. Both figures were holding steady in early betting action.

The Phillies could also be found getting upwards of +170 giving the run and a half on the MLB run line.

Nats vs. Phillies Set-Up

Philadelphia grabbed the opener of this series Monday night 4-3, cashing tickets as a -145 favorite on the MLB dime line. Washington actually took an early 2-0 lead, but the Phillies scored twice in the fourth inning to tie the score, once in the sixth to take the lead and once in the eighth for insurance, then hung on from there.

Monday's game also played under a total of 9.5.

The Phillies are now 2-1 this season against the Nationals. Last season Washington took the season series from Philly 11 games to eight, but of course, that was before Bryce Harper switched teams.

Tuesday's Starting Arms

This pitching match-up is a rematch of a game played last September, a 5-1 Nationals victory. But Harper hit a two-run homer that day for Washington; he'll be batting for the Phillies Tuesday night.

Nola (1-0, 7.00) is 1/2 on quality starts this season. Twelve days ago he held Atlanta to one run and two hits through six innings of a 10-4 Philadelphia victory. But last Wednesday he got clipped for six runs and three home runs in just three innings of a 9-8 loss to this Washington team.

In five starts last year against the Nationals Nola allowed just eight earned runs and 24 hits through 33 2/3 innings. The Phillies went 3-2 in those games, with the unders going 4-1.

Strasburg (1-0, 2.84) is also one-for-two on quality starts this season. Ten days ago he gave up four runs and seven hits through six innings of an 11-8 loss to the Mets. But last Thursday he held those same Mets scoreless on three hits through 6 2/3 innings of a 4-0 Washington victory.

In three starts last year against the Phillies Strasburg allowed eight runs and 17 hits through 17 innings, with 19 strikeouts. Washington won all three of those games, with the unders going 2-1.

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Tuesday's Batting Splits

The Nationals are batting .242/.329/.425 against right-handed pitching this season.

Philadelphia is batting .252/.358/.488 against RH pitching this season.

The Bullpens

The Washington bullpen ranks among the worst in the Majors so far this season, allowing 29 ER on 40 hits and 13 walks through 25 2/3 innings.

The Phillies bullpen has allowed 13 ER on 27 hits and 11 walks through 31 1/3 innings.

Totals Report

  • The overs are 6-3 in Nationals games this season.
  • The overs are 5-4 in Phillies games this season.
  • The overs finished 10-9 in Nats-Phillies games last season.
  • The totals split 39-39-3 in games played at Citizens Bank Park last year, which averaged 8.8 runs per.

Nats at Phillies Prediction 4/9/19

Washington roughed up Nola last week, but we expect a bounce-back effort Tuesday night. And that Nats bullpen is struggling. We're going with Philadelphia for our free MLB pick for Tuesday.

Free Pick: 
Take the Philadelphia Phillies -135