Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds - Free MLB Pick

Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds - Free MLB Pick

The Green Man
Date: August 29, 7:05 pm
Location: Citizens Bank Park
TV: MAS2

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Phillies -125 / Nationals +115
Total: 8

<h2>
MLB Betting Line<br />
</h2>
<p>
The line for the Phillies game opened with them as a -125 home favorite, and that line has not changed. In the run-line betting odds, the Nationals are at -180 getting .15 runs and the Phillies are posted at +160 giving 1.5 runs.
</p>
<p>
<b>Set-up </b>
</p>
<p>
In the 2nd game of this series yesterday the Nationals beat the Phillies 5-4 where the game ended on a double-play after Philly pinch runner Vince Velasquez was called out leaving 2nd base early after tagging up on a fly ball. The Nationals scored five runs on six hits, and the Phillies scored four runs on seven hits.
</p>
<p>
After losing three in a row, the Nationals have rebounded and won their last three games including taking the first two games of this series. They still have a lot of work to do to get back in the playoff race, as they are eight games out of first place in the NL East and six games out of the 2nd NL Wild Card.
</p>
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<p>
The Phillies have lost four of their last five games, including their previous two, and have dropped eight of their last 10. Before their swoon, they were neck-and-neck with the Atlanta Braves for the lead in the NL East but now trail them by 4.5 games. Philadelphia is 2.5 games out of the 2nd NL Wild Card spot.
</p>
<p>
This season the Nationals rank 11th in runs scored and 13th in team ERA and the Phillies rank 20th in runs scored and 15th in team ERA.
</p>
<p>
<b>Head-To-Head </b>
</p>
<p>
These teams have split the 14 games facing each other this season. The Nationals have outscored the Phillies 10-8 in winning the first two games of this series, and they took two of three games in the last round against Philadelphia earlier this month in the Nation's Capital. The Phillies had won five straight at home facing the Nats before losing the first two games of this series.
</p>
<h2>
Pitching Match-Up<br />
</h2>
<p>
<b>Washington:</b> Gio Gonzalez (7-11 4.35 ERA)<br />
<b>Philadelphia:</b> Jake Arrieta (9-9 3.37 ERA)
</p>
<p></p>
<p>
In Gonzalez’s last start he had a good one only giving up one earned run on seven hits in seven innings, but got no support in a 3-0 loss to the New York Mets. The Nationals have lost seven of his last eight starts including his last three. In Gonzalez’s two starts previous to his last one he only lasted eight 2/3 innings and gave up 13 earned runs. The Nationals are 1-1 in Gonzalez's two starts against the Phillies this season, and they have lost six of his last eight starts facing them in Philadelphia.
</p>
<p>
The Nationals have lost Gonzalez’s last eight road starts. Gonzalez recently cleared trade waivers so he may be traded soon, and this could be his last start for Washington.
</p>
<p>
In Arrieta’s last start he gave up four earned runs on six hits in six innings in a 4-2 loss to the Toronto Blue Jays. The Phillies have lost his previous four starts wherein two of them he combined to give up nine earned runs and in the other two only gave up one earned run.
</p>
<p>
The Phillies are 1-1 in Arrieta’s two starts against the Nationals this season. In 11 career appearances against Washington Arrieta is 1-2 with an ERA of 4.89.
</p>
<h2>
Washington at Philadelphia MLB Betting Angles<br />
</h2>
<p>
The Phillies are 5-2 in their last 7 home games against the Nationals.
</p>
<p>
In the last 5 games between these teams in Philadelphia, the Under record is 4-1.
</p>
<h2>
Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records<br />
</h2>
<p>
<b>Washington Nationals: </b>67-66 SU / O/U 57-72 / Run Line W/L 65-68<br />
<b>Philadelphia Phillies: </b>70-62 SU / O/U 58-68 / Run Line W/L 66-66
</p>
<p></p>
<h2>
Nationals at Phillies MLB Key Betting Trends<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
WASH is 5-9 in their last 14 road games
</li>
<li>
WASH is 5-1 in their previous 6 games against a team with a winning record
</li>
<li>
WASH has an Under record of 4-2 in their last 6 games
</li>
<li>
Phil is 2-8 in their last 10 games
</li>
<li>
Phil is 15-8 in their previous 23 home games
</li>
<li>
Phil has an Over record of 6-1 in their last 7 home games against a left-hand starter
</li>
</ul>
<h3>
Key Player Injuries<br />
</h3>
<p>
<b>NATIONALS </b>
</p>
<p>
[P] 03/26/2018 - Joe Ross 60-day DL (02/21) ( Elbow )<br />
[P] 04/21/2018 - Matt Grace 10-day DL (04/21) ( Groin )<br />
[C] 04/19/2018 - Jhonatan Solano 60-day DL (4/19) ( Elbow )<br />
[P] 03/30/2018 - Joaquin Benoit 60-day DL (03/28) ( Forearm )<br />
[P] 03/30/2018 - Koda Glover 60-day DL (03/28) ( Shoulder )<br />
[SS] 06/12/2018 - Adrian Sanchez 10-day DL (06/12) ( Undisclosed )<br />
[P] 07/10/2018 - Sean Doolittle 10-day DL (07/07) ( Toe )<br />
[P] 07/05/2018 - Erick Fedde 60-day DL (07/05) ( Oblique )<br />
[P] 08/17/2018 - Jeremy Hellickson 10-day DL (08/16) ( Wrist )<br />
[LF] 08/14/2018 - Howie Kendrick is out for season ( Ankle )<br />
[P] 08/21/2018 - Tommy Milone 10-day DL (08/20) ( Shoulder )
</p>
<p>
<b>Phillies </b>
</p>
<p>
[1B] 08/23/2018 - Justin Bour 10-day DL (08/22) ( Oblique )<br />
[P] 08/23/2018 - Edubray Ramos 10-day DL (08/22) ( Blister )<br />
[P] 08/16/2018 - Austin Davis 10-day DL (08/16) ( Back )<br />
[P] 08/16/2018 - Aaron Loup 10-day DL (08/16) ( Forearm )<br />
[CF] 07/10/2018 - Pedro Florimon 60-day DL (07/10) ( Foot )<br />
[P] 05/08/2018 - Adam Morgan 10-day DL (05/08) ( Back )<br />
[P] 03/26/2018 - Jerad Eickhoff 60-day DL (03/26) ( Back )<br />
[P] 04/27/2018 - Ben Lively 10-day DL (04/27) ( Back )
</p>
<p>
<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/matchup/943526">Washington at Philadelphia MLB Match-Up</a></span>
</p>

Washington at Philadelphia Prediction 08/29/2018

While the Nationals are surging as of late winners of four of their last five games, they have lost their last eight road games when Gonzalez has gotten the starting nod. On the other side of the coin, the Phillies are slumping and have lost Arrieta’s previous four starts even though in two of them he pitched well. Arrieta will have a good start in this one while Gonzalez will not, and the Phillies will take this game and avoid the series sweep.

Free Pick: Take the Phillies -125
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