Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Odds - Free MLB Pick

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Odds - Free MLB Pick

Rich Crew
Date: July 12, 7:10 pm
Location: Fenway Park
TV: NESN

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Red Sox -175 / Blue Jays +165
Total: 9.5

<p>
The Blue Jays were thumped by the Atlanta Braves 9-5 getting to Jays Sam Gaviglio for six runs and chasing him out of the game in the second. The loss for Toronto was their third in their last four games and six in their previous nine.
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<p>
The Red Sox continued their winning ways beating the Texas Rangers 4-2 for their ninth straight victory. Boston has also won seven consecutive games at home and bring an impressive 31-12 W/L mark into this game.
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<p>
Statistically this season, the Blue Jays rank tied for 18th in runs scored and 23rd in team ERA and the Red Sox rank 1st in runs scored and 6th in team ERA.
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<h2>
Pitching Match-Up<br />
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<p>
<b>Toronto:</b> J.A. Happ (10-5 4.44 ERA)<br />
<b>Boston:</b> David Price (9-6 4.44 ERA)
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<p></p>
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Happ was anything, but sharp getting blasted for six runs in just 2 2/3 innings in an 8-5 loss to the New York Yankees. The Blue Jays have lost his last two starts where he has gone eight 1/3 innings and given up 13 earned runs. Happ was excellent in his only beginning this season against the Red Sox on April 24th going seven innings allowing one deserved run on four hits in a 4-3 Toronto win. The Blue Jays have won four of his last five road starts against the Red Sox and in 18 career appearances, including 17 starts, against them he is 7-3 with an ERA of 3.09.
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<p>
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In Price’s last start he gave up four earned runs over four 2/3 innings in a 15-4 win over the Kansas City Royals. The Red Sox have won nine of Price’s last 11 starts, but two back his last one was his worst of the season where he was tagged for eight earned runs including five HRs in an 11-1 loss to the New York Yankees. Price’s two starts of the season against the Blue Jays came in May in two Boston wins where he totaled 10 1/3 innings giving up four earned runs. To say Price has pitched well against the Blue Jays in his career would be an understatement going 19-3 with a solid ERA of 2.46.
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<h2>
Toronto at Boston MLB Betting Angles<br />
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<p>
The Red Sox are 19-7 in their last 26 games against the Blue Jays.
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The Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 home games against the Red Sox.
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<p>
<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/matchup/940546">Toronto at Boston MLB Matchup</a></span>
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<h2>
Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records<br />
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<p>
<b>Toronto Blue Jays: </b>42-49 SU / O/U 43-42 / Run Line W/L 44-47<br />
<b>Boston Red Sox:</b> 65-29 SU / O/U 45-46 / Run Line W/L 56-38
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<p></p>
<h2>
Blue Jays at Red Sox MLB Key Betting Trends<br />
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<ul>
<li>
TOR is 5-13 in their last 18 road games
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<li>
TOR is 6-20 in their previous 26 games against a left-hand starter
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TOR has an Under record of 4-1 in their last 5 road games against a left-hand starter
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BOS is 20-6 in their last 26 home games
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<li>
BOS is 5-1 in their previous 6 games against a left-hand starter
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BOS has an Under record of 11-3-1 in their last 15 home games
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</ul>
<h3>
Key Player Injuries<br />
</h3>
<p>
<b>BLUE JAYS </b>
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<p>
[P] 06/23/2018 - Jaime Garcia 10-day DL (06/23) ( Shoulder )<br />
[P] 06/23/2018 - Aaron Sanchez 10-day DL (06/23) ( Finger )<br />
[P] 06/22/2018 - Danny Barnes 10-day DL (06/22) ( Knee )<br />
[P] 07/03/2018 - Marco Estrada left last game, is "?" for next scheduled start ( Hip )<br />
[P] 07/01/2018 - Ryan Tepera 10-day DL (06/28) ( Elbow )<br />
[P] 07/08/2018 - Rhiner Cruz 10-day DL (07/08) ( Groin )<br />
[SS] 03/26/2018 - Troy Tulowitzki 60-day DL (03/29) ( Foot )<br />
[P] 05/08/2018 - Roberto Osuna is out indefinitely ( Personal )<br />
[3B] 06/01/2018 - Josh Donaldson 10-day DL (05/29) ( Calf )
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<p>
<b>RED SOX </b>
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<p>
[P] 05/15/2018 - Carson Smith 60-day DL (05/15) ( Shoulder )<br />
[P] 06/05/2018 - Drew Pomeranz 10-day DL (06/02) ( Biceps )<br />
[2B] 06/02/2018 - Dustin Pedroia 10-day DL (05/30) ( Knee )<br />
[DH] 05/25/2018 - Hanley Ramirez has been released ( None )<br />
[SS] 03/26/2018 - Marco Hernandez 60-day DL (03/29) ( Shoulder )<br />
[P] 03/30/2018 - Austin Maddox 60-day DL (03/29) ( Shoulder )<br />
[P] 06/27/2018 - Steven Wright 10-day DL (06/23) ( Knee )<br />
[P] 07/08/2018 - Brian Johnson 10-day DL (07/05) ( Hip )<br />
[C] 07/08/2018 - Christian Vazquez 10-day DL (07/08) ( Finger )
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<p>
<span style="font-size:16px;"><strong><span style="color:#008000;">Search for the best odds:</span></strong> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/odds">Live MLB Lines</a></span>
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Jays vs. Red Sox Prediction 7/12/18

Boston has owned Toronto this season winning seven of their nine meeting including all three at Fenway Park. I can't play them at -175, and I'm going to rule out fading them in this spot at the current line of +165 as the value doesn't justify it. The total number though looks like it holds some value giving us the edge on the linesmaker. Ex-Jay David Price gets the ball for the home side, and he's been great historically against Toronto, and of the starters, Randal Grichuk (2 for 4) and Devon Travis (5 for 14) are the only batters that have had success against Price. The Jays send out J.A. and Happ has had his struggles as of late allowing 13 over 8 1/3 in his last two, but both those came at home at the Rogers Center where he has struggled at times this season. On the road, it's been a different a story with Happ going 4-1 with a decent WHIP of 1.11 and ERA of 2.83. He’s owned the Red Sox batters allowing the projected lineup to hit a combined measly .193 in 181 at bats making a return to form a strong possibility tonight. I’m looking at 4-2 type game tonight.

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