Toronto Blue Jays at New York Mets Odds & Picks

July 24, 7:10 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Tor -116/NYM +106
Jays -1.5 +140/Mets +1.5 -160
8.5ov -110

After taking the first game of this three-game weekend series in New York Friday night, the Mets shoot for the series victory when the teams meet again Saturday night. Taijuan Walker, coming off a terrible performance last time out, hits the hill for the home team here against lefty Hyun Jin Ryu for the visitors. Who do we like here with today's free pick?

MLB Betting Odds

Saturday's baseball betting lines opened Toronto at around -115 over New York, with an over/under of eight runs. Early betting action then bumped that total to 8.5.

Blue Jays-Mets MLB Betting Preview

New York took the opener of this series Friday night 3-0. The Mets got two home runs from Pete Alonso and six scoreless innings from starter Tylor Megill on their way toward victory.

New York won as a -105 pick 'em favorite Friday, and the game played under a total of nine runs.

With Friday's victory, the Mets are now 4-3 since the All-Star break. At 51-43 overall, New York leads the NL East by four games over second-place Philadelphia.

With Friday's loss, Toronto is now 3-3 since the All-Star break. At 48-45 overall, the Jays trail first-place Boston by 9.5 games in the AL East, but they're only five games behind Oakland in the battle for the second American League wild-card spot.

This series is the first meeting between these two teams this season; last season, the Blue Jays took two of three games from the Mets.

Saturday's Pitching Match-Up

Walker is only 6/17 on quality starts this season, but some of that has to do with a short leash. Four times this season, he's pitched to within three outs or less of a QS, only to get pulled. Last Sunday, he gave up six runs – five earned – on four hits and four walks while getting just one out against Pittsburgh, although New York came back to win that game 7-6. But over his three starts previous to that, he only allowed five runs and nine hits through 15 2/3 innings.

On the season, the Mets are a sparkling 14-3 with Walker and 4-0 over his last four starts.

This will be Walker's first start against Toronto since 2016 when he was with Seattle, and that's a long time ago.

Lefty Ryu is 7/18 on quality starts this year. Last Sunday, he held Texas scoreless on three hits through seven innings of a 5-0 Jays win. And just before that, he held Baltimore to one run through five frames of a 10-2 Toronto victory.

On the season, the Blue Jays are 11-7 with Ryu, 4-1 over his last five starts.

In his most recent start against the Mets, in September of last season, Ryu allowed one run through six innings of a 7-3 Toronto triumph.

Splits With the Sticks

Toronto is batting .266 against right-handed pitching this season, which ranks No. 1 in the Majors, with a .327 team OBP and a .460 team slugging percentage, which also ranks No. 1.

New York is batting .236 against left-handed pitching this season, with a .318 team OBP and a .387 team slugging percentage.

The Bullpens

The Blue Jays bullpen owns a 4.09 ERA this season, along with a 1.29 WHIP and a 2.39 K/BB ratio.

The Mets pen owns a 4.10 ERA, a 1.36 WHIP, and a 2.56 K/BB ratio.

MLB Betting Trends

  • The Blue Jays are 26-22 on the road this season.
  • The Mets are 28-14 at home this season.
  • The Blue Jays are 39-30 against right-handed starters this season.
  • The Mets are 10-17 against left-handed starters this season.

Totals Report

Unders are 46-43 in Blue Jays games this season.
Unders are 45-40 in Mets games this season.
Unders are 27-12 in games played at Citi Field this season.

Jays vs. Mets Prediction 7/24/21

Toronto is 39-30 against RH starters this season, while New York is 10-17 against lefties. The Blue Jays also own a considerable edge in the splits with the sticks. So we like Toronto here for our free baseball betting pick for Saturday.
Free Pick: 
Take Toronto -116