St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick 4/15/19
The Milwaukee Brewers opened this season by taking three of four games from the St. Louis Cardinals. These NL Central rivals meet again for a three-game series beginning Monday night, back in Milwaukee. Who do we like for our free MLB pick?
MLB Betting Odds
Monday's MLB betting odds opened Milwaukee and Peralta at around -125 over St. Louis and Hudson, with an over/under of 9 runs. Early betting action then bumped that line up to -135 and the total to 9.5.
Cardinals vs. Brewers Set-Up
St. Louis just split two games with Cincinnati over the weekend, winning Sunday 9-5, in a series played down in Monterrey, Mexico. So the Cardinals are 6-1 over their last seven games.
Milwaukee, meanwhile, just took two of three games from the Dodgers in Los Angeles over the weekend, missing the sweep by losing Sunday 7-1. But the Brewers are only 2-4 over their last six games.
At 10-6 overall the Brew Crew leads the NL Central by a half-game over 9-6 St. Louis.
Last year Milwaukee took the season series from the Cardinals 11 games to eight.
Monday's Starting Arms
Peralta (1-0, 6.91) is 1/3 on quality starts this season and coming off a lousy outing. Last Tuesday he got bombed for seven runs and eight hits, including two home runs, through 3 1/3 innings of an 11-8 Brewers loss to the Angels. Just before that, though, Peralta held the Reds scoreless on two hits through eight innings, with 11 strikeouts, in a 1-0 Milwaukee victory. On the season Peralta has allowed 11 runs and 20 base-runners (hits + walks) through 14 1/3 innings.
The Brewers are 1-2 with Peralta this season, with the overs going 2-1.
In two career starts vs. St. Louis, including a losing effort 17 days ago, Peralta has allowed seven runs and 15 BR through nine innings. Milwaukee lost both those games.
Hudson (0-1, 2.79) is 0/2 on quality starts this season. He opened 16 days ago by giving up four runs – three earned – and seven hits, including three homers, in 4 1/3 innings of a 4-2 loss to these Brewers. But last Tuesday he somehow held the Dodgers scoreless on six hits and four walks through 4 2/3 innings of a 4-0 Cardinals victory. On the season Hudson has allowed just those three ER but 20 BR through 9 2/3 innings.
St. Louis is 1-1 with Hudson this season, with the unders going 2-0.
In four career appearances vs. the Brewers Hudson has allowed three ER and nine hits through 7 2/3 innings.
Monday's Batting Splits
St. Louis is batting .254/.333/.474 against right-handed pitching this season.
Milwaukee is batting .235//321/.408 against RH pitching this season.
The Cardinals bullpen owns a 3.14 ERA this season, a 1.17 WHIP and a 56/34 strikeouts/walks ratio.
The Brewers bullpen, a bit shorthanded so far this season, owns a 4.25 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP and a 57/26 K/BB ratio.
- The overs are 9-5-1 in Cardinals games this season.
- The unders are 9-6-1 in Brewers games this season.
- The overs are 4-2-1 in games played at Miller Park this season.
- The overs are 2-1-1 in Cardinals-Brewers games this season.
- Get more details: St. Louis at Milwaukee MLB Match-Up Stats
Cardinals at Brewers Prediction 04/15/2019
Peralta is a Jekyll-and-Hyde case; he can dominate for eight innings as he did two starts ago, or he can struggle to get out of the fourth inning, like last time out. We just don't know what we're going to get out of him any given outing. Also, we'll give St. Louis short edges at the moment with the sticks and in the bullpen comparison. Plus, the Cardinals are getting the underdog price.