St. Louis Cardinals at Philadelphia Phillies Free Pick

July 3, 7:00 PM EDT

Betting Odds

STL +13 7 / PHI -148
8un -113

After splitting the first two games of this three-game series in Philadelphia the Phillies and Cardinals hook up for a rubber match Sunday night. Zach Wheeler hits the hill for the home team here against the great Adam Wainwright for the visitors. Which way are we going here for our free baseball betting pick?

MLB Betting Odds

Sunday’s baseball betting lines opened Philadelphia and Wheeler at around -130 over St. Louis and Wainwright, with an over/under of 7.5 runs. Early betting action then steamed the Phillies 18 cents to -148 and the total line has climbed to 8 runs on many boards..

Cardinals-Phillies MLB Betting Preview

Philadelphia took the opener of this series Friday night 5-3 but St. Louis bounced back to take Saturday’s game 7-6. The Phillies cashed in Friday as +135 underdogs on the dime line while the Cardinals won at +110 Saturday. With Saturday’s win St. Louis is still only 4-5 over its last nine games. At 44-36 overall the Cardinals trail division-leading Milwaukee by one game in the NL Central but also own the No. 3 spot in the NL wild-card standings. With Saturday’s loss Philadelphia is 2-3 over its last five games. At 41-38 overall the Phillies trail the division-leading Mets by 7.5 games in the NL East but also sit only 2.5 games back of St. Louis in the battle for that third and final NL wild-card spot. This series is the first meeting between these teams this season. Last year Philadelphia took the season series from the Cardinals four games to three.

Sunday's Pitching Match-Up

This pitching match-up is a rematch of a game played back in April of last season, a 2-1 Philadelphia victory. Wheeler, by our strict standards, is 8/14 on quality starts this season but 0 for his last two. Tuesday against Atlanta he gave up three runs and five hits, including two home runs, through 6 1/3 innings of a 5-3 Philly defeat. And just before that he gave up four runs - two earned - and seven hits through only 4 1/3 innings of a 4-2 loss to Texas. The Phillies are 7-7 with Wheeler this season, which sounds about right, based on his performances. In his most recent performance against St. Louis, in that game in April of last season, Wheeler allowed just one run and one hit through eight frames and picked up the W. Wainwright is 7/15 on quality starts this year but only one for his last four. Monday against Miami he tossed seven innings of seven-hit, shutout ball, with one walk and nine K’s, in a 9-0 Cardinals victory. But over his three starts previous to that he allowed 11 runs and 22 hits through 18 innings. St. Louis is 10-5 with Wainwright this season, although that’s probably one win better than it should be. In his most recent start against Philadelphia, in that game in April of last season, Wainwright allowed two runs and six hits through the full nine innings but took the L.

Splits With the Sticks

St. Louis is batting .251 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .318 team OBP and a .405 team slugging percentage. The Cardinals have also scored at least five runs five times over their last eight games. Philadelphia is slashing .244/.309/.410 against right-handed pitching. The Phillies have also scored 25 runs over their last three games. However, this line-up is also now operating without Bryce Harper (thumb) and Jean Segura (finger), who are both out of action until August or so.

The Bullpens

The Phillies bullpen owns a 3.93 ERA this season, along with a 1.34 WHIP. The Cardinals pen owns a 3.64 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP.

MLB Betting Trends

St. Louis is 20-20 on the road this season and 35-29 against right-handed starters. Philadelphia is 21-20 at home and 27-27 against right-handed starters.

Totals Report

  • The Over is 40-36 in Cardinals games this season.
  • The Over is 43-33 in Phillies games.
  • The Over is a combined 15-12 with Wheeler and Wainwright this season.
  • The Over is 20-19 at Citizens Bank Park this season.

Cardinals at Phillies Prediction 7/3/22

We call this pitching match-up a wash but we give St. Louis edges in both the splits with the sticks and the bullpen comparison. Plus, the Cardinals are catching a nice underdog price. We’re betting St. Louis Sunday night.
Free Pick: 
Take the Cards +137