St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers Odds & Predictions

Date: 
September 24, 9:10 PM EDT
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Moneyline: 
St. L +160/LAD -190
Total: 
7.5

National League division leaders clash when the Dodgers and Cardinals meet for game two of a three-game series at Dodger Stadium Saturday night. Lefty Clay Kershaw will get some work in for Los Angeles here against fellow southpaw Jordan Montgomery for St. Louis.
How are we playing this game with our free baseball betting pick?

MLB Betting Odds

Saturday's baseball betting lines opened LA and Kershaw at around -175 over St. Louis and Montgomery, with an over/under of 7.5 runs. Early betting action then goosed the Dodgers 15 cents to -190.

Cardinals-Dodgers MLB Betting Preview

St. Louis grabbed the opener of this series Friday night, 11-0. The Cardinals banged out 12 hits Friday, 10 of those for extra bases, including a pair of home runs from Albert Pujols, who's now got 700 dingers for his career. St. Louis also got a super quality outing from starter Jose Quintana and 2 1/3 scoreless innings from its bullpen.
With Friday's win, the Cardinals are 2-3 over their last five games. But at 89-64 overall, St. Louis leads the NL Central by 7.5 games over second-place Milwaukee, with just ten games to play.
With Friday's loss, Los Angeles is 1-3 over its last four games. But at 104-47 overall, the Dodgers lead the Mets by 8.5 games in the battle for the best record in the National League.
These teams have split four meetings so far this season.

Saturday's Pitching Match-Up

Kershaw is 10/19 on quality starts this season and 3/4 since returning from a stint on the DL. Monday, he held Arizona to one run and six hits through six innings of a 5-2 Los Angeles victory. And over his last four starts, he's allowed just four runs and 14 hits through 24 innings, with four walks against 29 strikeouts.
The Dodgers are 12-7 with Kershaw this season, 3-0 his last three times out.
This will be Kershaw's first start against St. Louis since 2019.
Montgomery is 12/30 on quality starts this year, 4/9 since joining the Cardinals in that deadline
trade with the Yankees but 0 for his last two. Last Sunday against Cincinnati, he allowed three runs and seven hits through 5 1/3 innings of a 3-0 St. Louis loss. And just before that, he gave up six runs - four earned - through five frames of an 8-4 Cardinals defeat against the Brewers.
The Yankees only played 9-12 with Montgomery earlier this season, but St. Louis is 7-2 with him.
This will be Montgomery's first career start against the Dodgers.

Splits With the Sticks

St. Louis is batting .263 against left-handed pitching this season, with a .344 team OBP and an ML-best .466 team slugging percentage. Numbers like those lead us to rank this line-up among the top three or four in Baseball in this split.
Los Angeles is slashing .256/.329/.433 against left-handed pitching.

The Bullpens

The Dodgers bullpen owns an ML-best 2.85 ERA this season, along with an ML-best 1.05 WHIP. However, this unit also just removed the struggling Kimbrel from the closer role.
The Cardinals pen owns a 3.74 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP.

MLB Betting Trends

St. Louis is 36-35 on the road this season and 24-10 against left-handed starters.
Los Angeles is an ML-best 52-20 at home and 29-15 against left-handed starters.

Totals Report

  • The Unders are 75-71 in Cardinals games this season.
  • The Unders are 74-63 in Dodgers games.
  • The Overs are 33-32 at Dodger Stadium this season.

Cardinals at Dodgers Betting Prediction 9/24/22

We give Kershaw the edge in the pitching match-up, and while St. Louis owns a slight edge with the sticks, Los Angeles owns a slight edge in the bullpen comparison. However, when we add that all that up, it does not warrant so high a price. Betting baseball often comes down to betting value, and we like the value with the Cardinals getting that fat underdog price.

Free Pick: 
Take St. Louis