San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres Odds & Predictions

September 11, 9:10 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Giants +150/Padres -160

The Padres own a five-game winning streak, while the Giants just had a five-game winning streak snapped, heading into the second game of a four-game NL West rivalry series Friday night in San Diego. How are we playing this game with our free MLB pick?

MLB Betting Odds

Friday's MLB betting odds opened San Diego and Richards at around -155 over San Francisco and Cueto, with an over/under of nine runs. Early betting action then bumped the Padres to -160.

Giants vs. Padres Set-Up

San Diego took the opener of this series Thursday night 6-1. The Padres scored three runs in the first inning, then got seven shutout innings from their bullpen, on their way toward cashing in as -185 favorites on the MLB betting odds.

Thursday's win extended San Diego's winning streak to five in a row, while Thursday's loss snapped a five-game winning streak for San Francisco.

At 29-17 overall, the Padres sit in second place in the NL West, 3.5 games behind the first-place Dodgers but 5.5 games ahead of the third-place Giants. And second place makes the playoffs this season.

At 23-22 overall, San Francisco may trail San Diego by 5.5 games in the NL West, but it also leads Colorado and Milwaukee by two games in the battle for the eighth and final National League playoff spot.

The Padres lead the season series with the Giants three games to one.

Friday's Starting Arms

Richards is 3/9 on quality starts this season. Last Sunday, he held Oakland to three runs and seven hits through seven innings, with nine strikeouts against zero walks, in a 5-3 San Diego victory. And in his outing just before that, he threw 3 2/3 scoreless innings against Colorado in Denver. But just before that, he got bombed by Seattle for six runs in less than one inning.

On the season, the Padres are 5-4 with Richards, and 3-1 over his last four starts.

In his only career start against San Francisco, two seasons ago, while still with the Angels, Richards allowed two runs through six innings, with 11 whiffs against one walk, in a 4-3 Angels win.

Cueto is only 2/9 on quality starts this year, but he's been pretty good his last couple of times out. Last Sunday, he held Arizona to two runs while scattering seven hits and three walks over 5 2/3 innings of a 4-2 Giants win. And just before that, he kept those same Diamondbacks to one run through 6 2/3 frames of a 4-1 San Francisco victory.

On the season, the Giants are 6-3 with Cueto, and 4-0 over his last four starts.

In his only previous start this season against San Diego, Cueto gave up four runs through just 3 2/3 innings back on July 29, but San Francisco won that game anyway 7-6.

Friday's Batting Splits

San Francisco is batting .272 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .333 team OBP and a .442 team slugging percentage.

San Diego is batting .269/.348/.503 vs. RH pitching this season. Numbers like those help this lineup rank among the top four or five in the Majors in this split.

The Bullpens

The Giants bullpen owns a 4.63 ERA this season and a 1.35 WHIP while posting a 1.90 K/BB ratio.

The Padres pen owns a 4.54 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP along with a 2.71 K/BB ratio.

MLB Betting Trends

  • The Giants are 9-13 on the road this season.
  • The Padres are 16-6 at home this season.
  • The Giants are 12-14 against right-handed starters this season.
  • The Padres are 22-9 vs. RH starters this season.

Totals Report

  • Overs are 23-17 in Giants games this season.
  • Totals are split 23-23 in Padres games this season.
  • Overs are 4-2-3 in Cueto's starts this season.
  • Unders are 6-3 in Richards' starts this season.
  • Unders are 12-10 in games played at Petco Park this season.

Giants vs. Padres Prediction 9/11/20

We're calling this pitching match-up a push, and while San Diego might own slight edges in the splits with the sticks and in the bullpen comparison, they're not enough to warrant so high a price. We like the baseball betting value here with the underdog Giants.

Free Pick: 
Take the Giants +150