San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres Odds & Picks

April 30, 10:10 PM EDT

Betting Odds

SF +175/SD -195
SF+1.5 -128/SD-1.5 +108
7.5un -115

The surprising San Francisco Giants stand in first place in the NL West, heading into the opener of a three-game rivalry series with the Padres in San Diego Friday night. San Francisco rides a three-series winning streak into this one, while San Diego's won two straight series. Logan Webb, coming off his best performance of the season, gets the call for the Giants tonight against a hot Yu Darvish for the Pads. How are we playing this game with our free MLB pick?

MLB Betting Odds

Friday's baseball betting odds opened San Diego and Darvish at around -190 over San Francisco and Webb, with an over/under of 7.5 runs. Early betting action then bumped the Padres to -195.

San Diego could also be found getting around +115, giving the run and a half on the baseball betting run line.

Giants-Padres MLB Betting Preview

San Francisco took two of three games at home from Colorado, winning Wednesday's series rubber match 7-3. The Giants then had Thursday off.

Just before that, San Francisco took three of four games from Miami, and just before that, they won two of three in Philadelphia. So the Giants are 8-3 over their last 11 games.

San Diego, meanwhile, just took two of three games at Arizona, winning Wednesday's series rubber match 12-3. The Padres then also had Thursday off.

Just before that, San Diego took three of four games from the Dodgers in Los Angeles. So the Padres are 5-2 over their last seven games.

At 16-9 overall, San Francisco leads the NL West by a half-game over the second-place Dodgers and by 2.5 games over 14-12 San Diego.

This series is the second meeting this season between these two teams; early this month, the Giants took two of three low-scoring games in San Diego.

Last year the Padres took the season series from San Francisco eight games to two.

Friday's Pitching Match-Up

Webb is one/four on quality starts this season. Last Sunday, he turned in a very nice effort, holding Miami scoreless on three hits through seven innings, with three walks and eight strikeouts, in a 4-3 San Francisco victory. But in his three starts previous to that, Webb allowed ten runs on 22 hits through 14 1/3 innings.

The Giants are 3-1 with Webb this season.

Over two career starts against San Diego, one last year and one in 2019, Webb allowed two runs and 11 hits through 9 2/3 innings. Thanks to almost zero run support, San Francisco lost both those games.

Darvish is 4/5 on quality starts this year, working on a run of four in a row. Last Friday, he held the Dodgers to one run and three hits through seven innings, with three walks and nine strikeouts, in a 6-1 San Diego win. And over his last four starts, he's allowed just four runs and 11 hits through 27 innings, with seven walks and 31 whiffs.

The Padres are 4-1 with Darvish so far, and three of those victories have come by at least two runs.

Two seasons ago, as a Cub, Darvish posted a couple of iffy outings against San Francisco. But in his second start of this season, back on April 6, he limited these Giants to one run and three hits through six frames of a 3-1 San Diego victory.

Splits With the Sticks

San Francisco is batting .222 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .295 team OBP and a .385 team slugging percentage. This lineup is also operating without OF Mike Yastrzemski (oblique).

San Diego is batting .240/.325/.370 against RH pitching this season.

The Bullpens

The Giants bullpen owns a 4.34 ERA this season, along with a 1.24 WHIP and a 2.53 WHIP.

The Padres pen owns a 3.07 ERA, a 1.15 WHIP, and a 4.03 K/BB ratio.

MLB Betting Trends

  • Favorites are 178-155 in MLB this season.
  • Favorites are just 125-206 against the run line this season.
  • San Francisco is 6-3 as an underdog this season.

Totals Report

  • Unders are 14-10 in Giants games this season.
  • Unders are 16-10 in Padres games this season.
  • Unders are 3-0 in Giants-Padres games this season.
  • Unders are 11-2 in games played at Petco Park this season.

San Francisco at San Diego Padres Prediction 4/30/21

We give Darvish the check-mark in the pitching match-up, and San Diego owns an edge in the bullpen comparison. Plus, San Francisco is missing a key left-handed stick. So we like the Padres here. But we don't like that price. So we'll take a chance and play San Diego against the run line.     

Free Pick: 
Take the Padres -1.5 +108