San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants Pick

August 29, 9:45 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Padres -135 / Giants +115

This game is the first of this series, and both the Padres and Giants come into this game off of back to back losses.

In their last game, the Padres lost to the L.A. Dodgers 6-4 where they had a throwing error in the 10th inning which gave the Dodgers the lead, which would stick. San Diego scored four runs on five hits and L.A. scored six runs on nine hits.

In their last game, the Giants lost to the Arizona Diamondbacks 3-2. The Giants scored two runs on five hits, and the D-Backs scored three runs on seven hits.

This season the Padres rank 26th in runs scored and 16th in team ERA, and the Giants rank 24th in runs scored and 15th in team ERA.

Pitching Match-Up

San Diego: Chris Paddack (7-7 3.84 ERA)

San Francisco: Dereck Rodriguez (5-6 5.26 ERA)

Paddack would like to forget his last start where he was tagged up for six earned runs on seven hits in only two 1/3 innings in an 11-0 loss to the Boston Red Sox. The Padres have lost three of his last four starts including his last two where he has given up ten earned runs in only seven innings of work. In Paddack's last two road starts, both San Diego losses, he has given up ten earned runs in eight 2/3 innings, and after the Padres won his first start of the season against the Giants, they lost his other one 6-5 on June 11th where he gave up three earned runs in five innings. The Padres have lost seven of Paddack’s last nine road starts.

Like Paddack Rodriguez was less than stellar in his last outing only going four innings and giving up six earned runs in a 12-11 loss to the Chicago Cubs. His previous start he pitched a gem tossing seven scoreless innings and only allowing three hits in a 7-0 win over the Diamondbacks. Rodriguez's last four starts have been on the road, and in his previous three appearances at home he came out of the bullpen lasting three 2/3 innings, and he gave up four earned runs. This season the Giants are 1-1 in Rodriguez’s two starts against the Padres, which were two of his first three starts to the season, where he totaled 12 innings and gave up four earned runs. In his last 12 home starts the Giants only have one win.

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Betting Angles

The Giants have won seven of their last eight games against the Padres.

In the last series between these teams in late July in San Diego, the Giants won two of three games.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

San Diego Padres: 61-71 SU / O/U 62-61 / Run Line W/L 63-69 San Francisco Giants: 65-67 SU / O/U 63-62 / Run Line W/L 70-62

Key Betting Trends

  • SD is 2-6 in their last eight overall
  • SD is 6-13 in their previous 19 road games vs. a team with a losing record
  • SD has an Under record of 19-7-1 in their last 27 road games
  • SF is 2-6 in their last eight overall
  • SF is 5-2 in their previous seven home games vs. a team with a losing record
  • SF has an Under record of 7-2 in their last nine home game against a right-hand starter

Team Info

The Padres are, pretty much, out of the playoff race well out of the NL West and ten games out of the 2nd Wild Card spot with 30 games remaining. They have lost six of their last eight games, and they have not scored over four runs in their previous ten games.

San Diego's big off-season signing in slugger Manny Machado (.264 27 HR 74 RBI) has hit safely in 10 of 12 games but is still only batting .205 in August and over his last 24 games has only gone yard once.

The Giants have also lost six of their last eight games, and they are holding onto a sliver of hope for the playoffs six games out of the 2nd Wild Card. The team has only totaled six runs in losing their last games while they won their previous two games totaling 15 runs.

Kevin Pillar leads the Giants in batting average, HR, and RBI and 10 of his 18 HR and 41 of his 64 RBI have come at home.

San Francisco is four games over .500 on the road this season while they are six games under .500 at home. They will be facing a Padres club that is 30-34 on the road.

Key Player Injuries


The injury bug has hit the Padres hard this season, and half of their starting infield is out for the season with 2B Ian Kinsler and rookie Fernando Tatis Jr. on the DL. Tatis Jr. was well on his way to Rookie of the Year batting .317 with 22 HR and 53 RBI before being shelved with a back injury.


The Giants have not been hit as badly by injuries, but starting 3B Pablo Sandoval and CF Steven Duggar went on the DL this month and are out for the season.

Padres at Giants Prediction 08/29/2019

Not the easiest pick in this game even though the Giants have won seven of their last eight games facing the Padres. I mean, Paddock has an ERA of over 10.00 in August and Rodriguez was lit up in his previous outing, and San Francisco has a grand total of one win in his last 12 home starts. Still, going with the Giants at home in this one since they have had the Padres number in the several previous games facing them. I don't look for either starter to have a great outing, but Rodriguez will have the better one, and he will get some run support. The Giants will take Game 1 of this division series and send the Padres to their 3rd straight loss.

Free Pick: 
Take the Giants +115

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