Rays vs. A’s Odds - AL Wild Card Game Prediction

October 2, 8:09 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Rays +121 / A’s -131
7.5 runs

Tonight's game is the AL Wild Card game where the winner will advance to the ALDS to face the Houston Astros.

In their last game of the regular season, the Rays lost to the Toronto Blue Jays 8-3. They scored three runs on nine hits, and the Blue Jays scored eight runs on 11 hits.

The A's lost to the Seattle Mariners 3-1 in their last game of the regular season. The A's scored one run on only three hits, and the Mariners scored three runs on seven hits.

To end the season, the Rays lost their last two games, and the A's lost two of their previous three games.

This season the Rays rank 18th in runs scored and 2nd in team ERA and the A’s rank 8th in runs scored and 6th in team ERA.

Pitching Match-Up

Tampa Bay: Charlie Morton (16-6 3.05 ERA) Oakland: Sean Manaea (4-0 1.21 ERA)

The Rays won Morton's last five starts of the season, and in his last one he tossed six scoreless innings and gave up only one hit in a 4-0 win over the New York Yankees. In two starts against the A's this season he went 1-0 with an ERA of only 0.69. The Rays have won 11 of his last 16 road starts, but they have lost four of his last five road starts against a team with a winning record. Morton has given up 22 earned runs in 26 1/3 innings in his last five road starts.

Manaea missed most of the season recovering from shoulder surgery and only made five starts, but he was lights out only giving up four earned runs over 29 2/3 innings. In his last start of the season, he gave up one earned run on four hits in six innings in a 3-1 win over the Seattle Mariners. His only start facing a team with a winning record was his season debut against the Yankees where he tossed five scoreless innings and only gave up one hit but in a 5-4 Oakland loss. Manaea did not face the Rays this season, and at home this season he was 2-0 in two starts with an ERA of 2.13. Dating back to last season the A's have won eight of his previous ten home starts.

Betting Angles

In the last seven games between these teams, the Under record is 5-2.
In the last 14 games between these teams, the Under record is 10-4.
This season the A’s were 4-3 against the Rays.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

Tampa Bay Rays: 96-66 SU / O/U 77-75 / Run Line W/L 80-82
Oakland A’s: 97-65 SU / O/U 71-88 / Run Line W/L 91-71

Key Betting Trends

  • TB is 37-18 in their last 55 games
  • TB is 2-6 in their previous eight playoff games
  • TB has an Under record of 4-1 in their last five games
  • OAK is 45-21 in their last 66 home games
  • OAK is 26-6 in their previous 32 games following a loss
  • OAK has an Under record of 6-0 in their last six games

Team Info

The Rays lost their last two games of the season after winning four in a row and in the two losses they scored four runs. The Rays had the 2nd best road record in the AL, and the A's had the 3rd best home record. The A's are 0-4 in their last four playoff games, and they lost to the New York Yankees in the AL Wild Card last season. These teams split the four-game series this season in Oakland. The Oakland lineup struggled at the end of the season, and while their pitching was solid, they failed to score over three runs in their last seven games.

Key Injuries

RAYS 2B Eric Sogard is listed as questionable for this game with a foot injury. A’s The A's have a few players out for the season, but they are healthy coming into this game with no injuries of note.

Rays vs. Athletics Prediction 10/2/19

Great starting pitching matchup in this game, which is no surprise for this winner-take-all Wild Card showdown. Morton pitched great in his two starts against the A’s this season, but he was not great in his last few road starts of the season. Manaea was awesome on the mound after missing most of the season on the DL, and he has the advantage of facing the Rays for the first time. That will be a great advantage, and he will tame the Rays’ bats, which were not great to end the season and only ranked 18th in MLB in runs scored. The A's lineup will not tag up Morton, but they will get for some runs, and that is all Manaea will need. In a low scoring pitcher’s duel, the A’s will come out on top and win at home advancing to the ALDS.
Free Pick: 
Take the A's -131