Philadelphia Phillies vs. NY Mets Odds & Free Pick

April 29, 7:10 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Phillies -108 / Mets -118
7un -120

The New York Mets host the Philadelphia Phillies on Friday, April 28th at Citi Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 7:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Philadelphia as the favorite (-105), with the total set at 7.


Philadelphia: Aaron Nola (1-2, 3.74) New York: Tylor Megill (3-0, 2.35)


Philadelphia Phillies: 10-10-0 SU / OU 10-8-2 / Run Line W/L 10-10-0 New York Mets: 14-6-0 SU / OU 8-9-3 / Run Line W/L 13-7-0

Recent Form

The Philadelphia Phillies will look to pick up another big win, after they defeated Colorado by a score of 7-1. Heading into this game, Philadelphia was the betting underdogs with a moneyline of -190.0. Through 16 games as the favorite, the team has won at a rate of 56%. On offense, Philadelphia's lineup put together a total of 12 hits, while the pitching staff allowed 1 run on 12 hits. In the game, the Phillies and Colorado combined to match the over-under betting line of 8.0 runs. However, for the season, Philadelphia still has an overall over-under record of (10-8-2).

The Phillies are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 4-1 over their last 5 games. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at 22. A key to their recent success has been an offense averaging 6.4 runs per game compared to their season average at 4.80. On the season, Philly has just 2 series wins out of 6.

The New York Mets are looking to bounce back from 10-5 loss to St. Louis. This was a disappointing loss for the Mets, as they were favored to win at -116.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 17 games, winning at a rate of 76.0%. Offensively, New York came up with 11 hits, while the team's pitching staff allowed 15 hits, leading to 10 runs. In terms of the over-under, the Mets and St. Louis combined to surpass the line of 9.0 runs. So far, New York has an over-under record of just 8-9-3.

In their last 5 games, the Mets have put together a record of 3-2. During this time, the team's run differential sits at +2. Offensively, New York's lineup has been steady 4.2 runs per game over their last 5 contests. For the season, the team comes in with a per-game average of 4.70. On the season, New York has been a perfect 6-0-0 in their series played.

Pitching Matchup

For the Phillies, Aaron Nola gets the start. So far, he has put together a record of 1-2. To date, Nola has an ERA of 3.74, while lasting an average of 5.3 innings per start. Through 4 starts, opposing team's have combined for a batting average of 0.187. Despite a strong batting average allowed, Nola is prone to giving up home runs, averaging 1.66 homers per 9 innings pitched. On the season, Aaron Nola has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 29.8% while averaging 6.25 K's per game. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 1.25 walks per contest.

For the Mets, Tylor Megill gets the start, with a perfect record of 3-0. Heading into his matchup vs Philadelphia, Megill has a strong ERA, sitting at just 2.35. This has come while averaging 5.75 innings per start and a batting average allowed of 0.214. So far, Megill, is allowing 0.78 homers per 9 innings pitched. A strength of Tylor Megill's game is his ability to generate swings and misses, striking out batters at a rate of 24.7%. Throughout the season, his strong command has led to an average of just 0.75 walks per contest.

Philadelphia vs New York History

So far, the New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies have met up 2 times, with New York winning the season series 2-1. Through 2 games, the series' over-under record is 1-1, with the average run total sitting at 6.84 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 2.0 runs. Going back to last year, Philadelphia won the season series, 10 games to 9. In these 19 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 8-11. Last year, the two teams averaged 6.84 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by 2.11 runs per contest.

Betting Trends

  • Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
  • Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Mets are 8-0 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss.

Phillies vs. Mets Prediction 4/29/22

Tonight's matchup between the Mets and Phillies features a strong pitching matchup between Tylor Megill and Aaron Nola. However, each team is also playing well offensively, particularly against right-handed pitching. Look for the Mets to pick up game 1 of this NL East divisional matchup.

Free Pick: 
Take the NY Mets