Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cleveland Indians Pick

Date: 
September 22, 6:15 PM EDT
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Moneyline: 
Phillies +115 / Indians -135
Total: 
10.5

In the ESPN Game of the Week, which is an important one for both teams the Cleveland Indians host the Philadelphia Phillies. The Indians won Game 1 of this series and the Phillies won Game 2.

In the last game in this interleague series, the Phillies beat the Indians 9-4. The Phillies scored nine runs on ten hits, and the Indians scored four runs on five hits. Philadelphia's Brad Miller had two HR, and Bryce Harper had a three-run HR.

Time is running out on the Phillies, as with nine games left in the season, they are five games out of the NL Wild Card. Things look better for the Indians, who have seven games remaining and are three games back of the Minnesota Twins in the AL Central and one game out of the 2nd AL Wild Card.

The Phillies had lost two in a row before winning the last game of this series, and the Indians had their five-game win streak snapped with the Game 2 loss.

This season the Phillies rank 17th in runs scored and 17th in team ERA, and the Indians rank 18th in runs scored and 2nd in team ERA.

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Pitching Match-Up

Philadelphia: Vince Velasquez (7-7 4.89 ERA)

Cleveland: Adam Plutko (7-4 4.34 ERA)

The Phillies have won Velasquez's last four starts, and in his last one he gave up two earned runs on five hits in five innings in a 5-4 win over the Atlanta Braves. In three of his previous four starts, he has given up two earned runs or fewer. Velasquez has not lasted past the 5th inning in any of his last seven outings. This start is his first appearance of the season against the Indians, and in his career facing them, he is 1-1 with an ERA of 1.46 in two starts. The Phillies are 6-2 in Velasquez’s last eight road starts.

The Indians have won Plutko’s last three starts where he gave up two earned runs in each one. In his previous start, he was at home and gave up two earned runs on four hits in six innings in a 7-2 win over the Detroit Tigers. This start is Plutko’s first of his career against the Phillies and in three career interleague appearances, which includes two starts, he is 1-0 with an ERA of 2.81. The Indians are 5-1 in his last six home starts, and they are 4-1 in his previous five home starts against a team with a winning record.

Betting Angles

  • The Phillies are 4-1 in their last five games against the Indians.
  • The Indians are 4-1 in their last five home games against the Phillies.
  • In the last five games between these teams, the Under record is 3-1-1.
  • In the last eight games between these teams in Cleveland, the Over record is 6-2.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

Philadelphia Phillies: 79-74 SU / O/U 70-79 / Run Line W/L 76-77

Cleveland Indians: 91-64 SU / O/U 65-86 / Run Line W/L 84-71

Key Betting Trends

  • PHIL is 5-2 in their last seven road games
  • PHIL is 7-1 in their last eight interleague road games
  • PHIL has an Under record of 5-2 in their last seven games
  • CLE is 5-1 in their last six games
  • CLE is 1-4 in their last five interleague games
  • CLE has an Under record of 4-1 in their previous five home games

Team Info

The Phillies have a tough road to the playoffs five games out of the 2nd Wild Card, and after this series they hit the road, where they are three games under .500 this season, to face the Washington Nationals, who have the NL Wild Card lead. They had only totaled six runs in losing two in a row before scoring nine runs in beating the Indians in their last game.

After this series, the Indians end their season with two series’ on the road facing the Chicago White Sox and Nationals. They had only allowed ten runs, five in one game, in their five-game win streak, which ended with their 9-4 loss to the Phillies in Game 2 of this series.

Key Player Injuries

PHILLIES

The two relief pitchers in Juan Nicasio and Seranthony Dominguez and OF Roman Quinn are all out for this game and expected out until the beginning of October.

INDIANS

3B Jose Ramirez is listed as questionable for this game with a wrist injury, and 3B Christian Arroyo is out until early October.

Phillies at Indians Prediction 09/22/2019

Both teams are in need of a win in this game, as both are currently on the outside looking in on the playoffs. The Phillies are in desperation mode, and they likely need to win out and get a lot of help to make the playoffs. The Indians also need to finish well, but they are only one game out of the 2nd AL Wild Card. The Indians were hot until the Game 2 loss, and they will get hot again in this game getting to Vasquez and the Philadelphia bullpen. Plutko will have another steady outing, and with him getting help, Cleveland will take this game, which is their last home one of the season.

Free Pick: 
Take Cleveland -135
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