Philadelphia Phillies at Houston Astros Game 6 Odds & Predictions

November 5, 8:00 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Phil +132/Hous -143
7un -123

The Astros once trailed this World Series two games to one but now find themselves one win away from another championship, heading into Game 6 Saturday night in Houston. In a rematch of Game 2 of this Series lefty Framber Valdez gets the call for the Astros here against against Zack Wheeler for Philadelphia. How are we playing Game 6 with our free World Series Game 6 pick?

World Series Betting Odds

The Game 6 betting lines opened Houston at around -135 over Philadelphia, with an over/under of seven runs. Early betting action then bumped the Astros to -150.

World Series Game 6 Betting Preview

Houston grabbed a 3-2 lead in this World Series with a 3-2 Game 5 victory in Philadelphia Thursday night. The Astros and Justin Verlander spotted the Phillies the first run of the game Thursday, then scored the next three and held on from there for the win. Houston won Thursday as a -150 favorite on the dime line and the game played under a total of 7.5 runs. With Thursday’s win the Astros are 10-2 this postseason. With Thursday’s loss Philly is 11-5 this postseason. Houston finished 19 games ahead of the Phillies in the regular-season standings and took two of three games from Philadelphia in the last series of the season one month ago.

Game 6 Pitching Match-Up

This match-up is a rematch of Game 2 of this Series, a 5-2 Houston victory. Valdez is 2/3 on quality starts this postseason. Last Saturday, with the Astros down in the Series 1-0, he held Philadelphia to one run and four hits through 6 1/3 innings, with three walks and nine strikeouts, in that 5-2 Houston win. And over three starts this postseason he’s allowed just five runs - three earned - and 12 hits through 19 total innings, with six walks against 24 whiffs. The Astros are 3-0 with Valdez this postseason. Over two career starts against the Phillies, the one last week and one last month, Valdez allowed just one run and six hits through 11 1/3 innings, with four walks and 19 K’s. Houston won both those games. Wheeler is 3/5 on quality starts this postseason. Last Saturday in Game 2 he gave up four ER and six hits through five innings and took the L. But over five starts this postseason he’s held opponents to nine ER and 16 hits through 30 1/3 innings, with six walks and 28 strikeouts. Philadelphia is 3-2 with Wheeler this postseason. That start last Saturday was Wheeler’s first career outing against Houston.

Splits With the Sticks

Philadelphia batted .266 against left-handed pitching this season, with a .337 team OBP and a .433 team slugging percentage. But the Phillies have also scored a total of just two runs over the last two games of this Series. Houston slashed .242/.315/.411 against right-handed pitching this season.

The Bullpens

The Astros bullpen recorded a ML-best 2.80 ERA this season, along with a 1.14 WHIP and a 3.06 K/BB ratio.

The Phillies bullpen posted a 4.27 ERA, a 1.39 WHIP and a 2.32 K/BB ratio.

MLB Betting Trends

Philadelphia played 40-41 on the road this season and 28-18 against left-handed starters.

Houston played 55-26 at home this season and 64-44 against right-handed starters.

Totals Report

  • The Overs played 80-75 in Phillies games this season.
  • The Unders played a lopsided 93-61 in Astros games.
  • The Unders played 47-30 at Minute Maid Park this season.
  • The Unders are 3-1-1 in this World Series.

Phillies at Astros Moneyline Prediction 11/5/22

We give Valdez the edge in this pitching match-up and while Philadelphia might own an edge in the splits with the sticks Houston gets the check-mark in the bullpen comparison. Plus, the Astros are just the better team and rolling into Game 6 following back-to-back wins in Philly. Plus, the price ain’t too bad. We’re betting Houston to finish this Series off Saturday night. 

Free Pick: 
Take Houston -143