Oakland As vs. Kansas City Royals Pick

August 26, 8:15 PM EDT

Betting Odds

A's -150/Royals +135

Oakland A's (74-55) vs. Kansas City Royals (46-85)

The A's are still right in the thick of the American League wild-card race as they open a four-game series with the fading Royals in Kansas City Monday night. Oakland sits just a half-game out of a playoff spot, while KC has been relegated to playing spoiler. How are we playing this game with our free MLB pick?

MLB Betting Odds

Monday's MLB betting odds opened Oakland at around -155 over Kansas City, with an over/under of 9.5 runs. Early betting action then dipped that line down to -150.

The A's could also be found at around -105 giving the run and a half on the MLB run line.


A's vs. Royals Set-Up

Oakland just got swept two games at home by San Francisco over the weekend, losing 10-5 Saturday and 5-4 Sunday. Just before that, though, the A's swept three games from the AL-East leading Yankees, and just before that they took three of four games from AL West-leading Houston. So Oakland is 7-3 over its last ten games.

At 74-55 overall the A's trail the Astros by 9.5 games in the divisional race but they're only a half-game behind Tampa Bay in the battle for the second American League wild-card spot.

Kansas City, meanwhile, just dropped two of three games at Cleveland over the weekend, avoiding the sweep with a 9-8 win in 10 innings Sunday. Just before that the Royals lost two of three to Baltimore, and just before that they lost two of three to the Mets. Going back a bit further Kansas City is 3-8 over its last 11 games.

At 46-85 overall the Royals are just playing out the string on a lost season.

This series is the first meeting between these teams this year.

Monday's Starting Arms

Keller by our strict standards, is 12/27 on quality starts this season and three for his last four. Last Tuesday he held Baltimore scoreless on three hits through six innings, although KC eventually lost that game 4-1. And over his last nine starts, he's pitching at least six innings eight times, while allowing more than three earned runs just twice.

On the season the Royals are only 9-18 with Keller and 0-5 over his last five starts, but that's nowhere near all his fault. He deserves better than that.

In his only career start against the A's, back in June of last season, Keller allowed two runs and five hits through 5 1/3 innings of a 3-2 Kansas City loss.

Former Royal Bailey is 9/25 on quality starts this year, 4/7 since joining Oakland in a trade with KC back in July. Last Tuesday he held the Yankees to one run and seven hits through 5 2/3 innings, with eight strikeouts against zero walks, in a 6-2 A's win. And just before that, he tossed seven scoreless innings against the Giants.

The Royals, a team that's 39 games under .500 on the season, went 8-10 with Bailey this year, while Oakland is 5-2 with him.

This will be Bailey's first-ever start against Kansas City, which could give him an edge, at least for the first couple of times through the lineup.

Monday's Batting Splits

Oakland is batting .240/.320/.428 against right-handed pitching this season.

Kansas City is batting .245/.308/.401 against RH pitching this season.

The Bullpens

The Oakland bullpen owns a 4.13 ERA this season and a 1.30 WHIP while allowing a .715 OPS.

The KC pen owns a 4.88 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP while allowing a .798 OPS.

Totals Report

  • Unders are 69-58 in A's games this season.
  • Unders are 63-62 in Royals games this season.
  • Overs are 34-26 in games played at Kauffman Stadium this season.

A’s at Royals Prediction 08/26/2019

We would give Keller the check-mark in this pitching match-up, but Bailey has been pretty good since joining his new team. From there we give Oakland edges with the sticks and in the bullpen comparison. So we like the A's for our free MLB pick for Monday.

Free Pick: 
Take Oakland -150

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